P12 is a supercell of snow.
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
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Too early to start drooling, give me that look in 5 days and I will be
Just looking at the maps and I get the feeling that Hampton Roads/Extreme NE North Carolina (KECG) are going to be watching everyone else get in on the fun if this occurs.
Yeah that's a storm and big if it happens. Is this a miller-b? Anybody?
Surprisingly the 18Z EPS/control continues to trend better and is starting to look different (look at the NE US/SE Canada)
The more Arctic origin stuff you dig into SE Canada, the colder the setup would Likely be, clearly can see on the EPS/control that true northern stream is digging more
The more Arctic origin stuff you dig into SE Canada, the colder the setup would Likely be, clearly can see on the EPS/control that true northern stream is digging more
griteater
Member
Tonight's WPC 500mb forecast at Day 7 is in lock step with the 12z Euro Ens Mean with respect to the placement of the confluence zone running thru North Carolina. Where will we go from here??
TNweathergurl62
Member
I hope you peeps get an amazing Snow! We had 7+ days of snow in during the middle and snow the week before last! 8;inches of snow that seemed like it would not go away! We Loved it but were getting a bit run down with it. Many good wishes for a great snow for you all! 
Icon was about to be big
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Yeah I think we would have seen some fireworks in a few more frames
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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
It sure was, strong SW with CAD pressing down hard. If you start seeing icon showing a cooler surface you better pay attention.
griteater
Member
Heights over the NE and our southern stream wave are both south compared to last run on the GFS. Looking like squash city.
NCSNOW
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It had the surface below freezing down to rdu and pushing Southwest. Heavy dbz's inbound from deep south. The next to last frame had a transfer to gulf coast 990's, then on frame 180 consolidate inland Mississippi.
Anyway Whos got the Korean model?
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Looks good to me.
6 hours earlier.
6 hours earlier.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Snow breaking out in NC hour 174 on GFS
griteater
Member
Yeah this run it has some light snow there as the back door cold front drops south, but the storm is way suppressed, which, I'm fine with that at Day 7 on the GFS given other guidance
It has the exact opposite problem. It has too little of a 50/50 low, which causes the wave to shear out into the ridge and cut.
griteater
Member
GFS is tracking this thing across South Florida during a strong El Nino...that's led to positive outcomes in the past (Feb 12, 2010)
Up to now, this is unfolding pretty much textbook like the days of yore with GFS suppressed at this range. GFS keeps the southern wave a little more strung out and less consolidated, but has a good push from the northern vortex and good high pressure up top, which are positive trends if they continue.