NCSNOW
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Why wpc trashed it in discussion. It will come around in a few days
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
rburrel2
Member
Going off the 18z GFS ensembles, suppression is the least of my concerns. Happy to see the 00z GFS stay far south for now.
Nothing about this mean makes me think, "man, I'm concerned there won't be a storm".
Nothing about this mean makes me think, "man, I'm concerned there won't be a storm".
Brick Tamland
Member
And then watch it slowly start moving north next week.
Last edited:
NCSNOW
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Amen x 1000. That back door front is priority #1 and the confluence trending better and holding serve the next 7 days tracking is the key. Without it, we have no white colored qpf
GFS right in between what we need…the northern upper low either needs to lift out quicker or dig back further west. It’s sticking right where we don’t want it…except it’s 7-8 days away so actually not bad spot to be in.
That omega block is legit though.
That omega block is legit though.
This one has potential for N and NE Ga.
griteater
Member
All we can say at this point is that we are tracking the potential for a winter storm across the mid-south, southeast, and southern mid-atlantic for next weekend. All outcomes are possible from no winter storm at all to a winter storm in any and all of those regions, including I-20
Lord have mercy
00z GEFS following same trend of the op 00z GFS - would expect it to end colder and more south than 18z.
griteater
Member
GEFS comparison to 18z run
I really like the trend we’re seeing for the lower dewpoints across the northeast. That was IMO the biggest thing that was lacking the last couple days… now it’s showing single digit dewpoints down to the VA/NC line which is seen in the stronger CAD events
GEFS looks great 
Thing I like to see this gefs run Vs the last is a more suppressive nature, the gefs run last run had some big members, but also some mid Atlantic members, I’d prefer the spread to be from hits around here to suppression