Is it possible to see the 500mb vort progression for individual members? Would be interested to see why there were so many big dog solutions on the ensemble run. If we could phase into that trough in the NE somebody's gonna get a huge storm
I’m sure the bigger members had more interaction. Both the op and ensemble are trending that way.
Different set up but kinda similar to February 2014. You see that initial wave riding along the cold front as it’s dropping south and bringing in the cold push from the NNE(great direction for it to come from for everyone east of the Apps). Then you can see the main storm taking show in the Gulf… it will be interesting to see if any of the other models have a solution like this in the coming days.
That's a helluva mean and hopefully not the high end peak. I mean if this was 2 days out I'd be super pumped. So mentally prepping for bad trends in the next day or so. But I like what I see today!
Honestly, I’d be more worried about suppression being the end result as to why we don’t get a storm vs what the Euro is showing. This storm has me very interested. I’ve tried not to comment because my luck has been awful tracking what appeared to be good potentials that go poor in the 11th hour. But this a much different setup. Legit blocking with a bombing 50/50 low crawling the progression to a hault. And kicking a SW out of the west with troughing all across the subtropical regions and the south. Right now I want this thing in Cuba because this is the type of setup we usually see the NW trend.
This is why I like seeing the suppression we’re seeing on the models right now. With this strong a STJ, you know that this is going to move further north even with a strong press from the northern stream. Yeah it’s been said a lot, but this definitely where we want at this time
Dang. There's even a 30+ inch member in there!
Does @NCHighCountryWX approve of this message?
You happen to have one for my neck of the woods? Those are sweet.
