Gefs just randomly popped a -NAO this run 
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Pattern February 2024
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Looks good and terrifying on paper, but reality I’m at +13-14 above average. That means my highs would be 42-43
accu35
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If it’s quick i wouldn’t really call it a “Pattern” Webb mentioned a true pattern should happen in February and it would have some staying power to it.
Long live the wedge 
Been a long time since we’ve seen the cold centered in the northeast like that. That’s when we shine. Raging mixed bag CAD storm while the mid south sits in the 50’s. I miss those days
*firewood printer goes brrrr*
My goodness that run almost pinched that energy off. The coastal front was pretty excited
At least we're not staring into the face of a never-ending -PNA. So +1 for that.
Dig this back toward central MS/AL and there's a discussion to have
I think this is what @Webberweather53 means when you have the mean ridge in Canada Vs a rooted subtropical ridge, stuff like this happens. Overall on modeling, wavelengths have seemingly gotten shorter 
? 
Fliring with at least getting some flurries with this. I guess this should have gone into her January thread
Fliring with at least getting some flurries with this. I guess this should have gone into her January thread
Carolina Sky
Member
I'm sure we'll get cold again in February after the warm up this week. I just don't think we'll have any precip to go along with it when it's cold enough for snow. It's been the same thing the last few winters. Cold and dry, warms up and rains, drys out in time for it to get cold again. Until that doesn't happen I don't see any reason to believe it's going to be any different in regards to snow chances in NC outside the mountains, and especially for the Triangle and east.
Pretty wild to see some 40+ degree spreads in the gefs since that suite is usually ride or die together and not as dispersed as the eps
Woah woah woah Brick. We are rockin with positive vibes today kind sir. Please get that mess outta here.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Cold air is dry and warm air is moist. It’s basic stuff here and nothing that is any different from the past. Thats how it is and always will be.. you need mechanisms to drive moisture into cold air. Energy didn’t dig like it needed to these last few storms so we got no precip. But to simply say when it’s cold it’s dry and that’s how it is nowadays is just silly and adds nothing to the conversation. Making a claim like that without any reasoning is pointless.
My only reason for posting this is to give you some assurance,
We all need that push from time to time.
This is your calling.
There's others here too,
That I feel have a true calling to be in a meteorology career.
In some fashion.
There's at least 10-15 ppl when reading these models that I pay close attention too.
Your one of the top.
Along with fill in the name.
We all know who they are...
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NoSnowATL
Member
Carolina Sky
Member
The reasoning is that's how it's been the past three years, so no reason to think it's going to be any different until it actually does something different.
rburrel2
Member
That's a super strong wedge signal for such a long lead time on the CMCE. Seems like February 5-15 should be a great time to score a winter storm east of the apps. I've personally always been a fan of a warm Canada. The -30C arctic cold dropping down in to the great plains from Southern Canada rarely works out for us now.
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Avalanche
Member
It is that way now it seems. Broad troughs that reach way south seem more and more a thing of the past.