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Wintry February 19-21, 2020 Winter Storm

Sorry if this isn’t a good question, but does anyone have or know how to find the sounding for Dahlonega?


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I don’t know how nam keeps snow in upstate sc till 06z Friday if there’s a transfer? That seems unlikely


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The 00z nam run is still solid overall bringing in more snow over GA down to i20 at end of run need a little more but that trended better for my area but some far north and west got a little less
 
What is the difference between snow 10:1 and kuchero?


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Different ratios. 10:1 always stays the same with 1inch of liquid equalling 10 inches of snow. Kuchera is dynamic and the ratios adjust more so based on surface and UL temps.
 
Tropical tidbit maps are so misleading at times lol

It's far more accurate if you use positive snow depth change to filter out the sleet/mix. Even the developer of Tropical Tidbits, Levi Cowan, said so himself if you follow him on Twitter. I found this method the most accurate when I was living in New England last few winters.

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NAM sounding for PGV at start, 1PM Thursday. Very quick transition if any and solidly in the all Snow type thereafter per nomogram, we have 2-3C aloft margin on any nose.

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4PM
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WRAL still only showing the Euro on Facebook. I asked met Mike Maze about the NAM, and his reply was...

I don't trust the NAM...it's an outlier...I am not going to advertise something that is way far and above what everything else is showing.
 
What is the difference between snow 10:1 and kuchero?


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Kuchera is suppose to be pure snowfall with mixing taken out. However, it tends to be much on the lighter side so a blend of 10:1 and kuchera in the middle is a good basis for what you see on a given map. For example, mby saw 7” that run on the 10:1 and 5” on the Kuchera so around 6” looks more reasonable.
 
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