Weak signal on the EPS 
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Feb 6-8 2022 Winter Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Not ideal
packfan98
Moderator
Pretty good signal for a CAD storm at hr 168 on the 18z GEFS.
Broken024
Member
Weird look with the rain north lol
Stephenb888
Member
Is it just me or does this look like a repeat from 2 weeks ago?
packfan98
Moderator
You can see from the individual members that #26 causes the rain printout above the CAD. It's the only one with rain to the north, but looks to be a strong system that skewed the mean.
It definitely has that Miller B look to it. Right now with the snowpack over the northeast, any CAD has a strong chance of over performing.
Rain north due to lighter amounts...heavy precip would bring down more cold air. Who knows what is really going to happen.
That’s a pretty stout signal on the gefs for a Miller B/CAD setup. SE Canada trough, higher heights atop the GLs which allows subsidence for a damming high, nice shortwave over NE texas, trough over the northern plains/NW to keep a flatter flow, and a western ridge. Gonna be lots of changes however because when you have a trough over the Baja like that, models tend to struggle with interactions with the packet of energy/BN heights around that area, we could honestly lose the southern stream wave, keep it, or it get held back
18z euro/EPS looked much more interesting, Southern stream wave stronger 
Fro, that swirl in Texas just got my attention. I was coming here to post similarly. That was gonna be a storm in 24-48 hours.
Yep, starting to get some momentum on the way this has been trending today on ensembles
Jessy89
Member
Seems like feb 5th through 7th is the timeframe for this potential winter storm
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Do you have the H5 set up for 2/2014… this set up doesn’t appear that much different
Now this glacier to our north should help our future CADS tremendously. This would make a 1030 CAD get pretty cold down here
So look at these two images. Reminder that the ICON was a major winter storm 18 hours after that image.
That bowling ball tho… if we can shorten wavelengths, decrease the ridging over us but increase the ridging over the Great lakes then we’re cooking. Only issue against that, is the pattern being progressive, id definitely favor mixed/a in-situ or perhaps hybrid setup right now with how fast the flow will be before the pattern amplifies again, but the 12z icon shows how we can get it done. It’s not even far out when the overall pattern sets up either