Not crazy at all. I know it’s been highlighted on here already, but this is one of those systems where just the smallest changes can have big implications on what we end up getting at the surface. Funny one of the local mets in Charlotte was on at 6 talking about our 2 year snow drought and said “if you’re looking for snow anytime soon, don’t hold your breath.” I found myself cursing at the tv, but who knows - maybe he was trying to play a little reverse psychology.I might be crazy, but we need to keep an eye on this system. The trends are just enough to keep the candle lit.
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Great analysis. This is our opportunity IMO. Like you also pointed out, we are seeing (relatively) massive changes inside D4 and it’s probably due to the data sparse location this energy is coming from and this may continue. This could be good or bad for us but we gotta just hope and pray it’s good ala 2010.Another important piece is also trending better, the secondary/trailing northern vort, which is the one we want to inject into the system, the Initial trough trending back is opening the door for this second vort to dig further west View attachment 144416View attachment 144417
Looks like the ridge is inching west and the height contours are positioned north to south over the eastern Great LakesYep it's just the nam but it's a pretty big shift west across the conus and Canada
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Check out the NE, positionYep it's just the nam but it's a pretty big shift west across the conus and Canada
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The thing is that you can see the changes with the ridge that sets this up occurs less than 48 hours from now… not exactly fantasy land for the NAMCheck out the NE, position
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We need help with the cold air advection. Some way, some how we need Something to shuffle up in Canad/NE a touch or two.Now is the time where we need to start actually seeing some positive signs start popping up at the surface. We are under 100 hours from where the big pieces need to be taking shape for this thing to work. Small changes are nice but it needs to start translating to the surface more as time is starting to become an issue before long.