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Wintry Feb 17-19 Smastsmasher Snow/Ice

This thing is starting to look down right ominous .. looking at the Dewpoint’s for the storm it looks like we get a good surge of dry 27-29 Dewpoint’s which is not what we had last event .. also it almost seems like the surge of dews by the coast almost slingshots colder and drier air into central NC on a lot of the models ... very interesting set up
 
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18z hrrr to Huntsville I’ll go
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Here’s my SE map, It took over a hour to make this, damn it’s mentally tiring, I went on the side of WAA for most the SE, will make adjustments if I need to
Yes this is my first time ever making a map for the southeast so it’s not that good lol, I prob got things wrong
I notice it’s hard to see but there’s a secondary Shade of pink before the red 877F7747-2232-46EE-B3C9-8CB6A6C7CBAF.jpeg
 
12z EPS 850mb temps verbatim favor IP over ZR for at least a little while for folks NW of about Winston-Salem & for the northern Blue Ridge. +6-8°C 850s is almost a slam dunk ZR for GSO & RDU once the evaporative cooling near the onset of this storm wanes.

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Sleet fest for areas NW of CLT and the Triangle but what about ZR? This is per the latest HRRR of course.


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12z EPS 850mb temps verbatim favor IP over ZR for at least a little while for folks NW of about Winston-Salem & for the northern Blue Ridge. +6-8°C 850s is almost a slam dunk ZR for GSO & RDU once the evaporative cooling near the onset of this storm wanes.

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This run is showing a stronger warm nose too from the Triad & pts SE. Hard to bet against it...

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