Wintry Feb 11-13 2021 Ice Potential

[BackThePack]

35 in Fuquay-Varina, according to the car thermometer. 33.1 at home, according to the Tempest.

I’m basically in the Quay, good to see temp sensor is on par with others.

Starting to teeter on being a weenie and filling gas tanks for the generator.

best case for me is I wake up to shear darkness and it looks like Elsa herself was in the neighborhood. Head down to the garage and crank up the genny, watch blue smoke sputter out of it as it comes alive. Plug in the fridge, coffee maker and modem and live my best life.

 

[Webberweather53]

Here's the 12z Euro valid for this time. What a joke...


There's a good reason why most everyone should ignore this model when it comes to forecasting CAD, even 3-5 days out

 

[Deleted member 1449]

The RGEM is even 1 degree too warm right now.

 

[Webberweather53]

Curious what the 0z NWS blend of models FRAM comes out w/ in a few hours. For the last few glazing events it's been basically right on the $$.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

These little ticks mean big things, even the HRRR is adjusting a tad, it’s very subtle but damn it’s adding insult to injury

 

[Webberweather53]

These little ticks mean big things, even the HRRR is adjusting a tad, it’s very subtle but damn it’s adding insult to injury View attachment 74354

Even these adjustments still look too warm in places like Reidsville & Oxford-Henderson

 

[8miles]

still a degree too warm for iredell county

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It’s still adjusting colder for later as well, yet it has me at 35 degrees but the station near me is 33.8

 

[Metwannabe]

31.1 and light glaze on cars... hmmm

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well that’s a jump, lol

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Well that’s a jump, lol View attachment 74358View attachment 74359

Shifts the heavier precip totals over to the immediate CAD areas. Come on, I wanna keep my lights on.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

33.5, keeps slowly dropping

 

[Mitch West]

I’m going to take a gamble by saying freezing rain makes it all the way to Charlotte tonight. Obviously, nothing significant there at all, maybe a light glaze. We gotta think, there is snowpack right up the road in VA, I mean literally like in some cases depending on location, 50-150 miles North. That’s going to amplify the cold air in this CAD.

 

[FallsLake]

Henderson keeps dropping:

 

[Rain Cold]

32.7

 

[Deleted member 1449]

29.7 with light freezing rain currently.

 

[WxGSO]

29.7/29 with light freezing drizzle...roads ok for now but a lot of ice in the trees, patio furniture, etc

 

[BHS1975]

32.4


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[NickyBGuarantee]

I’ll tell you what .. I’m driving around in apex working for papa johns heading back to Raleigh at 8-9 .. the mist and drizzle is really flying out there ... this can’t be good

 

[Myfrotho704_]

HRRR now dropping areas around Charlotte to 32, coldest run