Wintry Feb 11-13 2021 Ice Potential

[NickyBGuarantee]

Getting close.

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It’s pretty early for these temps to be dropping like this... sun still up too..

 

[Metwannabe]

Temps still slowly inching down about .1/hr now. I'll be at freezing Monday. Still looks like the better dry push is yet to come

Down to 31.5 now, let's go!

 

[norcarolinian]

29.4 over 28.1 now. Light mist.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Here's a quick map I've put together for this event. I chose to go w/ total ice accumulations since that will have a more direct effect on overall impacts than additional accums tonight. Up to 0.5" total ice possible near the VA border, two tenths to a third of an inch of ice possible in the Triad area. Perhaps a light glaze or so in Raleigh.

Crippling ice storm potentially on the way NE of Greensboro

View attachment 74331

Webb, you cut my house in to.. The 0.2-0.33/0.1-0.2 splits my house! lol Currently 31.3/30

 

[BHS1975]

It’s pretty early for these temps to be dropping like this... sun still up too..

These are dews which will drop first.


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[Webberweather53]

Webb, you cut my house in to.. The 0.2-0.33/0.1-0.2 splits my house! lol Currently 31.3/30

Lol! Gotta cover all my bases!

 

[FallsLake]

Down to 32.0.

 

[Webberweather53]

29.4 over 28.1 now. Light mist.

Yikes... The really bad ZR events are ones that have light intensity + long duration precip. This persistent light freezing drizzle/mist today is probably not a good omen

 

[Webberweather53]

Several 0.2" ice reports already from earlier today near the VA border, which is why I went pretty high on the ice totals up here, although I'll admit, I might be a little conservative setting the ceiling at 0.5" up this way. I'm sure these locations have only added to these numbers since then given the persistent freezing drizzle/mist we've seen today in much of the N piedmont.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

What's really kind of concerning is that the HRRR is running about 1-2 degrees too warm in this area right now.

 

[Webberweather53]

What's really kind of concerning is that the HRRR is running about 1-2 degrees too warm in this area right now.

Wow and that's FRAM too. Oh man

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Down to 33.9, HRRR said I should be 35 ?

 

[PGAWx]

33.4. Topped out at 36.0.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Glad to know I wasn’t going crazy the past couple days thinking this CAD could overpreform today... but it can stop now ???

 

[Webberweather53]

Down to 33.9, HRRR said I should be 35 ?

Concord regional airport still sitting at 36F last I checked, urban heat island doing work

 

[Webberweather53]

Henderson-Oxford airport & Reidsville down to 29F already, HRRR had them at 31-32F for this time.


Ouch

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Concord regional airport still sitting at 36F last I checked, urban heat island doing work

That’s cool how UHI works, the more outskirt areas are getting readings around 34, was 33.9 so went up .1 (2 stations next to each other and close to me) UHI truly does help keep things warmer during ice events

 

[BackThePack]

Sitting at 33.1 in southern wake, colder than HRRR by a degree. Below NAM3k by 2 degree. Could be an interesting evening

 

[Rain Cold]

Sitting at 33.1 in southern wake, colder than HRRR by a degree. Below NAM3k by 2 degree. Could be an interesting evening

35 in Fuquay-Varina, according to the car thermometer. 33.1 at home, according to the Tempest.

 

[8miles]

down to 32 in statesville