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Pattern Failbruary Thread

I consider February 20th to be the end of snow chances here outside of the very, very unusual late-season storm. Just in time lol.
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Stephenb888 said:
How is it possible that these clown maps never verify…not even once in a blue moon? You would think at some point they would hit on something even this far out. Why do the models always think we’re gonna have perfect conditions 2 weeks out?
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Because the models are wrong about 99% of these monster storms down here.
 
Seems like all of the models are starting to recognize anamolous west coast ridge better in the long range sparking more pinchy/phasey stuff flowing down it. Euro,CMC,ICON, GFS have all went from showing little opportunity to lots of threatening waves in the last few cycles. Very good signs!
 
rburrel2 said:
Seems like all of the models are starting to recognize anamolous west coast ridge better in the long range sparking more pinchy/phasey stuff flowing down it. Euro,CMC,ICON, GFS have all went from showing little opportunity to lots of threatening waves in the last few cycles. Very good signs!
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Yep should be interesting starting about a week from now
 
Stephenb888 said:
How is it possible that these clown maps never verify…not even once in a blue moon? You would think at some point they would hit on something even this far out. Why do the models always think we’re gonna have perfect conditions 2 weeks out?
Click to expand...
you-hate-to-see-it.gif
 
There are 4 Miller A/SE coastals between now and the next of the GFS run, 2 of which are winter storms. What a pattern!

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Although there is another nice winter storm showing in the 300 hour plus range on the GFS, please note that the GFS also picked up the Ice Storm that just hit Memphis at hour 384 on the 19th of January. The ice totals were off by a good bit (3 inch plus) but the placement and orientation back at that 384 hour image compared to what fell and where were pretty close.
 
the warmest look in a while and it still isn’t even that great for warmth, that ridge in the GOA is still trying to slide east, now we could turn this into a torch it the ridge axis shifts more towards the Aleutians 2FDFCFC4-7025-4C90-AAD6-7FC4D47FC160.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
the warmest look in a while and it still isn’t even that great for warmth, that ridge in the GOA is still trying to slide east, now we could turn this into a torch it the ridge axis shifts more towards the Aleutians View attachment 112851
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Like you pointed out a few days ago the models have all had this ridge starting farther west and as we towards medium range and verification time it corrects further westward which is what has continued to have us in a favorable pattern through the end of January and now through mid February
 
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