ATLwxfan
Member
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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
I’ll go ahead and say it… right where we want it at this range
29 degrees at 21z on Saturday according to the Euro IMBY.
Ultimately I'd like to try to make this a thing vs what's after it but in this setup that a monumental task
iGRXY
Member
Really like the trend here with the 50/50 being slower. This 2nd vort is the one we need to score.
Euro carries the N/S energy over and is to progressive, resulting in nothing much
iGRXY
Member
Really need that first wave to be the one to get it done. Hopefully we will start pushing further NW and strengthen the s/w as it slides through.
ATLwxfan
Member
At some point we run out of time for trends.
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Pretty much there if you are looking for anything more than some freezing drizzle. The late Friday and Saturday wave has no room to amp with the cheese grater in the NE so it's sheared and south need it about 24 hours slower. The late weekend system is so northern stream dominant now it's just a front with the potential for some freezing drizzle associate with the return flow and maybe a little lift from the higher elevations, need more southern wave faster, stronger with more phasing (unless you wanted a pure ice storm). We couldn't have timed these waves any worse but them are the breaks
Have a cruise booked for April lol. Would like some ice or snow before then though
Shaggy
Member
Brings more wintry precip east of 95
iGRXY
Member
We will have a stretch of some cold days and a couple extremely cold days at least. Don't be surprised if we get a NW shift in precip as is typical with overrunning, but I wouldn't expect much, yet.
rburrel2
Member
Why do we need trends? Gfs/gefs/cmce/ukmet all have a decent wintry event… also it’s still 6 days out… plenty of time to trend 100 different ways.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
TBH, cmc ensemble has shown more support for this system than any other threat (which hasn't been many) this entire winter so far.
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? anyone got better eps maps
Certainly a little support for the op gfs