Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Odds are, we're gonna see a north trend here sooner rather than later w/ the GFS given the building subtropical high to the south. Good luck getting snow out of this in NC
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Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread
- Thread starter Metwannabe
- Start date
Odds are, we're gonna see a north trend here sooner rather than later w/ the GFS given the building subtropical high to the south. Good luck getting snow out of this in NC
I got to say…kuddos on this call. You’ve been relentless to make sure nobody should expect snow. Relentless might be an understatement actually. ?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I hope we don't let this go to waste.
90% of the time it’s a safe bet to say we aren’t going to see any snow. Even when everything looks like it’s in our favor. It’s easy to be on that side of the fence. I prefer to have a little hope. And I do mean little lol.
This is the part where someone says “right where we want it at this range”
Do you think any potential next week would be strictly a CAD ice/sleet storm in the Carolinas or is this a set up that could produce front end snow? That SER flexing leads me to believe it would favor an ice storm
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Record breaking arctic air mass getting dropped into New England late this week w/ a record breaking surface high over Quebec.
Gotta capitalize on opportunities like this.
Gotta capitalize on opportunities like this.
Yep, thats what's frustrating. There is some nice pieces on the table. But the good news if we get a week of steady rain.
I mean come on the 12z has highs in the low-mid 30s on a sunny day on Saturday.
It’s literally wedge Influenced which makes it even more impressive
Don't want to be that guy but cold comes in just in time for this 5 day conveyor of moisture to shut off?
iGRXY
Member
You will likely see more of a NW trend or at least more precipitation on that NW side which is typical with overrunning since it is WAA driven. One nice thing is with a strong subtropical ridge, you’ll see a NW shift and more WAA riding over record type cold air to really help drive moisture output. Also will mean more ice if we can get the timing right.
Yeah, but will it have a date for the party?
CMC with a significant winter storm (ice-sleet)
Mega wedge on the CMC
Noteworthy CMC has a ~1037 high, whereas GFS is ~1050.
CMC pumps out a legit CAD storm with this surface pattern. The airmass is so cold so it makes this look work 
CMC brings the low up thru ENC and thus the >0C 850s.