Pattern Fail or Fab February 2023 Pattern Thread

[olhausen]

On they way to work today and trees are much worse then day before.

 

[deltadog03]

This pattern really blows for us in FL. ( and south of I-40 for most areas, and in NC) Warm, humid and dry. I know it's FL, but this SHI* blows

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Hey this is an official source .. so you’re saying there is a chance ?

 

[superjames1992]

Hey this is an official source .. so you’re saying there is a chance ?View attachment 132004

Wow, the 24% is nearly right over me. All in, I guess? ?

 

[Nomanslandva]

Had some mixing here but upstream radar looks like poop so I guess the first accumulation is not going to be today. Soundings looked pretty good with no warm nose but just a tad too warm at 34.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Had some mixing here but upstream radar looks like poop so I guess the first accumulation is not going to be today. Soundings looked pretty good with no warm nose but just a tad too warm at 34.

Yeah it’s 37 here with mixing. Sfc temps are killer. Radar actually looks good closer to Bristol. We will see how much of that makes it over here

 

[NCSNOW]

Seemed to be Different type of splatter hitting windshield on way in. Mod+ Rain . back to drizzle once arrived into work. I've seriously lost count of the Rainy days in the 30's this season. The shutout of seeing at least a trace is still alive and kicking.

 

[NCSNOW]

On to next Friday Weekend: From last night 0Z. Chasing a windshield/Mulch topper.

6z
Gfs late Sun into Monday

 

[Turner Team]

Had some snow mixed in for a few minutes earlier but now back to just light rain and 37.

 

[NCSNOW]

Greensboro has 53 for the official High Temp yesterday 2/1 and very fishy looking/suspect. It certainly wasn't 53 at midnight when 2/1 officially rolled in. More like 41. No wonder everyone thinks the planet is scorching with record keeping like this. 41 was as high as I recorded.

tological Data for Greensboro Area, NC (ThreadEx) - February 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Date	Temperature	HDD	CDD	Precipitation
Maximum	Minimum	Average	Departure
2023-02-01	53	38	45.5	5.0	19	0	0.17
2023-02-02	M	M	M	M	M	M	M
2023-02-03	M	M	M	M	M	M	M

 

[LickWx]

Greensboro has 53 for the official High Temp yesterday 2/1 and very fishy looking/suspect. It certainly wasn't 53 at midnight when 2/1 officially rolled in. More like 41. No wonder everyone thinks the planet is scorching with record keeping like this. 41 was as high as I recorded.

tological Data for Greensboro Area, NC (ThreadEx) - February 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Maximum	Minimum	Average	Departure
Date	Temperature	HDD	CDD	Precipitation
2023-02-01	53	38	45.5	5.0	19	0	0.17
2023-02-02	M	M	M	M	M	M	M
2023-02-03	M	M	M	M	M	M	M

It was over 50 when midnight rolled in at Greensboro and Winston . I checked both . Asheboro was 55 at midnight as well

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Snow flying in the NRV this morning.

 

[weatherfide]

I have rain mixing in with my drizzle, 48 degrees, winds light out of the northwest.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Models didnt pick up on that snow and rain in virginia this morning.

 

[Bannerdude]

Greensboro has 53 for the official High Temp yesterday 2/1 and very fishy looking/suspect. It certainly wasn't 53 at midnight when 2/1 officially rolled in. More like 41. No wonder everyone thinks the planet is scorching with record keeping like this. 41 was as high as I recorded.

tological Data for Greensboro Area, NC (ThreadEx) - February 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Maximum	Minimum	Average	Departure
Date	Temperature	HDD	CDD	Precipitation
2023-02-01	53	38	45.5	5.0	19	0	0.17
2023-02-02	M	M	M	M	M	M	M
2023-02-03	M	M	M	M	M	M	M

The wedge front moved through Durham around 11:30 on 1/31. Temp was crashing but I was still 50 at midnight on 2/1

 

[NCSNOW]

It was over 50 when midnight rolled in at Greensboro and Winston . I checked both . Asheboro was 55 at midnight as well

Thanks, on me then

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Wow. Accumulating snow in Christiansburg, Blacksburg and Pearisburg this morning. No one was calling for this.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[LukeBarrette]

I’m ------- done with this bs, sfc temps in the city are killer. Yes it’s majority rain here in the city but all around me in every direction is snow.

 

[Nomanslandva]

Wow. Accumulating snow in Christiansburg, Blacksburg and Pearisburg this morning. No one was calling for this.

RGEM and HRRR had it. My point and click had mix language yesterday afternoon but they dropped it last night?‍

 

[SWVAwxfan]

View attachment 132010
I’m ------- done with this bs, sfc temps in the city are killer. Yes it’s majority rain here in the city but all around me in every direction is snow.

Wow. That dark blue over Christiansburg though.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Wow. That dark blue over Christiansburg though.

Thanks…
Good job rubbing it in

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Thanks…
Good job rubbing it in

What I don't understand is the snow over Bedford, Amherst and Appomattox counties and even Lynchburg. I would expect at least Roanoke county would be snow as well.

 

[LickWx]

Thanks, on me then

No you’re good, your point wasn’t wrong btw about these stations being funky a lot of the time …

 

[LukeBarrette]

What I don't understand is the snow over Bedford, Amherst and Appomattox counties and even Lynchburg. I would expect at least Roanoke county would be snow as well.

I think it may be time to make a little YouTube video and explain the several reasons why Roanoke sucks in marginal cold snow events. It’s not just elevation related, a lot of it has to do with the way the mountains are oriented when cold comes from NW.

 

[Nomanslandva]

View attachment 132010
I’m ------- done with this bs, sfc temps in the city are killer. Yes it’s majority rain here in the city but all around me in every direction is snow.

Yea, most of the time it seems like I get mixing longer where I am because the wind pushed that air from the city over me. Wish we could have been under that heavier band just to our south. that may have produced a little slush.

 

[SWVAwxfan]

I think it may be time to make a little YouTube video and explain the several reasons why Roanoke sucks in marginal cold snow events. It’s not just elevation related, a lot of it has to do with the way the mountains are oriented when cold comes from NW.

Certainly a very complex climate in this area. Completely different from Columbia SC where the only variable is the urban heat island.

 

[Nomanslandva]

What I don't understand is the snow over Bedford, Amherst and Appomattox counties and even Lynchburg. I would expect at least Roanoke county would be snow as well.

I am 2 miles from tanglewood mall and 400 ft above the river in elevation. Sometimes I do get accumulation when the mall does not. This one is weird because weather stations up at bent mountain/poor mountain are right at 32 and I would expect them to be a bit colder with it 34 here.

 

[rburrel2]

This can work... and there's some support on the GEFS. If we get some Baffin Bay blocking I think we'll have a good chance.

 

[Ross]

Good morning from Richmond- did not expect this

 

[Turner Team]

Yea, most of the time it seems like I get mixing longer where I am because the wind pushed that air from the city over me. Wish we could have been under that heavier band just to our south. that may have produced a little slush.

I am under the northern part of that band and still just nothing but light rain. The heavier echoes must be where it is mixing aloft. Temp down to 36 though so maybe we will get a changeover before the precip shuts off.

 

[NoSnowATL]

65/ foggy. No snow yet.

 

[SWVAwxfan]

I am 2 miles from tanglewood mall and 400 ft above the river in elevation. Sometimes I do get accumulation when the mall does not. This one is weird because weather stations up at bent mountain/poor mountain are right at 32 and I would expect them to be a bit colder with it 34 here.

Even up here, the accumulation is weird. Bare ground at I-81 But just a few miles north near Merrimac, the ground is covered.

 

[iGRXY]

This can work... and there's some support on the GEFS. If we get some Baffin Bay blocking I think we'll have a good chance.View attachment 132011

Get the block, you'll shunt the TPV SE into the 50/50 region with a ton of energy flying around in the central US.

 

[BullCityWx]

 

[LukeBarrette]

Funny update put in by RadarScope

 

[KyloG]

I know come summer we will be praying for a rainy day but this has really sucked. Where is the sun. Maybe we get a couple of days this week of sun.

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

Snow #7 in progress

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[SD]

37 and rain no torch yet.

Only .05 at the house last night. What you gotta do to get a decent rain event

 

[Rain Cold]

37 and rain no torch yet.

Only .05 at the house last night. What you gotta do to get a decent rain event

Canonical Nina, I guess.