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Pattern Fabulous February

Just comparing the 12z to 6z, I think a sharper ridge actually helped some precip wise, but playing the game with the SE ridge is dangerous...it could easily trend stronger and that would mean goodbye to a winter storm for anywhere in the SE.

Relying on the GEFS has not worked for me for 3 winters. Not just this one, and yet I'll get roped in again down the road.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
Just comparing the 12z to 6z, I think a sharper ridge actually helped some precip wise, but playing the game with the SE ridge is dangerous...it could easily trend stronger and that would mean goodbye to a winter storm for anywhere in the SE.

Relying on the GEFS has not worked for me for 3 winters. Not just this one, and yet I'll get roped in again down the road.
Click to expand...
Pulling for a little southeast ridge myself ... helps back further west to amp the system as it cuts
 
12z gefs vs 06z huge increase for western parts
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Myfrotho704_ said:
This needs to stop if you want a good snow in nc/sc outside the mountains, all I got to say, slightly stronger ridge View attachment 15469
Click to expand...
Im leaning towards an overrunning event north of OKC (maybe Missouri) come verification with a line extending through the northern tier of the Ohio valley. Rain for the big coastal cities in the NE
 
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