Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age

[strongwxnc]

Holy hell it goes on for days.

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Good lord!
Lol


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Might be banner but it belongs here NO CHANCE


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Idk. That Toccoa snow/ice hole is pretty believable

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Idk. That Toccoa snow/ice hole is pretty believable

And the CAE shutout

 

[Spurs up]

Idk. That Toccoa snow/ice hole is pretty believable

the CAE one as well

 

[BHS1975]

Talk about Siberian express.

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[WxWatch]

Idk. That Toccoa snow/ice hole is pretty believable

Hahah, the warm nose is like giving us the middle finger...

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[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Talk about Siberian express.

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That's way better than the pattern we're in now. It's nice to see the -EPO all the way to the pole. That could evolve nicely down the line. Of course it has to verify and the GFS has been horrible with the EPO all year.

 

[RollTide18]

Might be banner but it belongs here NO CHANCE


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I mean it’s possible, seems to go against climo but definitely possible.

Edit: I see it’s past 300 hrs, nvm then, no chance.

 

[KyloG]

We buying the -EPO? All globals/ens agree.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Oh lord .. what would this even look like

 

[accu35]

I'm still interested in the 6th-8th period.

 

[Stormdoc]

We buying the -EPO? All globals/ens agree.

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Yes, but only plausible if the PNA goes negative

 

[POWERSTROKE]

If GFS was half right all winter I would have 30 inches already

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

We buying the -EPO? All globals/ens agree.

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Seems they are in agreement of some sort of -EPO around the 7-15 timeframe .... we will see ... has there ever been a time this winter when all these models had -EPO showing up for the same time period and then failed?

 

[KyloG]

Yes, but only plausible if the PNA goes negative

Previous 2 Feb had -EPO coupled
with -PNA....did us no good.

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

We buying the -EPO? All globals/ens agree.

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Hell why not? What we're in now ain't gonna cut it. What do we have to lose?

 

[Webberweather53]

Hell why not? What we're in now ain't gonna cut it. What do we have to lose?

The key is getting the ridge to be centered over or north of Alaska, the -PNA will break down if this occurs and the big Hudson Bay vortex would slide further south. Very subtle changes to the character of a -EPO turn one of the worst patterns for snow to an amazing one

 

[Downeastnc]

View attachment 32561Oh lord .. what would this even look like

It would be historic if its a 3rd of those totals.....surface temps are mid to upper 20's and it would change to sleet before ending as temps crash.....the heavy nature of the precip would also limit accrual so these numbers are probably overdone by a good margin...still 50-.75" of ice would be big trouble.

 

[KyloG]

The key is getting the ridge to be centered over or north of Alaska, the -PNA will break down if this occurs and the big Hudson Bay vortex would slide further south. Very subtle changes to the character of a -EPO turn one of the worst patterns for snow to an amazing one

Can we get one of these going mid Feb

 

[tramadoc]

What’s it going to take to get the -EPO to pair with a +PNA?