Six Mile Wx
Member
The Polar Vortex is coming!
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Pattern Fab-February 2020 The dark age
- Thread starter Ilovesnow28
- Start date
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,415
- Reaction score
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Well, I wouldn't call it "fantasy stuff" when it's just little over 200 hours.
Based off what we've seen lately, fantasy stuff is over 120 hours
Broken024
Member
Either the GFS is consistently ---- right now or its going to be starting around day 9. Either way, I'm all in on the CFS
Look at that frozen pin wheel. #Cold&Dry #ColdBias?
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I actually would call what I'm talking about as fantasy, as it's not all the cold snap although that's my focus.
although the events to trigger the potential cold do start a lot earlier. Looks like you do start out with blue anomalies in Alaska, but something triggers it to dislodge and it starts heading southeast in 120 hours...crud that might not be in range to where we know, but if you can get that to head east that could be $.
And I did see the GFS nail that CAD relief event in September last year....maybe...just maybe...
pcbjr
Member
Seldom does, and likely won't this time (540 way too north) ... but it's a fun movie to watch and I hope some of our members are in the cast of characters! ...
-EPO pops and as it builds pushes east resulting in a +PNA and that vortex just rides the roller coaster to the bottom...great progression to get cold over this way..edit: Not to mention that BIG -NAO ?
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Gimme the cold for real. Always first. Step 1.
pcbjr
Member
Can I say "Bingo"? ...
Look at the ridging at the pole..GFS must have that vortex splitting #BelieveItWhenISeeIt
Then after the cool snap couple days later it's raining up in the Ohio Valley and headed this way. lol
pcbjr
Member
18Z @ 348 ... trust it?
For the rain YES! lol I don't believe the cold for a minute on the GFS, But I certainly can believe the rainstorm at 348....................
With a look like this I think those comments earlier today are very premature to be making .. winter is in no way shape or form done.. obviously this may not verify but a pattern like this could easily verify and have multiple storm opportunities.. no need to be down about this pattern.. honestly I thought this would be exciting people on here .. don’t know where the negativity is coming from
Jessy89
Member
I sound like a broken record but the Gfs has no clue. Gfs shows something different every run. I mean if we are going to see snow this winter. It will probably be February 5th to 9th timeframe. That seems to be the idea we are getting. That the pattern will be a pattern that could pop a storm. 30% chance we get a storm. But hey the chances are not zero.
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18z GFS...PV pinwheel to 60 degree cutters. I trust it
Talking about fantasy, look at the CFS starting at day 10 (storm after storm). Too bad we can't get one genie wish to lock down one model run.
Models: CFS — Pivotal Weather
View CFS weather model forecast map image for Precipitation Type, Rate in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.www.pivotalweather.com
EDIT: I know this is banter, but that was one of the greatest fantasy runs of a model I've seen in a long time. For two weeks after day 10 most on this board would keep snow on the ground as storm after storm dumps snow and ice. Wouldn't it be great to see something like this someday.
A parade of storms for the first three weeks of February. A Fab Feb, indeed! modernweenie
pcbjr
Member
Some of y'all ... go to Church this Sunday, and don't forget to say some prayers Moday through Saturday ... you have a shot ...
