tennessee storm
Member
That’s a typical moderate to strong Niña for you showing it’s ugly head
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
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tennessee storm
Member
Actually for our area cd we tend to score more snow storms with a negative pna ,because positive pna usually spell suppressed pattern pushes everything towards gulf. But we going need least ao go negative to get some colder air into the mix .
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Fwiw, December 11-12 1958 still holds the throne as greatest December storm ever in the coastal plain area near I-95 and parts of the eastern piedmont of NC. While Dec 2010 produced a tiny area of 12"+ amounts east of Raleigh, there was a 50 ish mile swath across the entire state in Dec 1958 that experienced them. Nash County looks like the big winner w/ 19" in Nashville.
(Important aside: I am currently working on updating this map (& others in the winter of 1958-59) w/ some new, additional data I've been able to find since I first did this as an undergrad at NC State several years ago. Should have a new analysis + better looking map in the next several days or so.)
This storm is another good example of why we love to see high-latitude N Pacific & Pacific-Arctic blocking
Major source region build up but also now Judah is on board with cold snow? I never know where this guys heads at 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I’m sure he means MA and northeast
Nice gradient pattern at the end of the icon 
Yeah it looked like it might have been trying to set something up past 180 with the clipper moving through and a new cold air mass coming but it was starting to dig in the west so maybe not
They don't make them much uglier than where the gfs is headed. At least it's a decent pattern to get some rain into the region
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
12Z GEFS isn’t as cold as the 6Z around 12/5-6, but it looks to come in colder around 12/9 and beyond with an impressive +PNA! This actually would line up well with the move of the MJO to phase 7 and headed to 8.
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The good thing is the western snow pack (specifically in higher elevations) will go above normal. This provides crucial water supplies for agricultural areas in the spring. We get a lot of our food from the west.
tennessee storm
Member
Best thing bout that is still fantasy land …but if it verifies, we will be breaking record high temps for December
And even if this verified to the end, I would think that cold to the NW (1050 high) would eventually barrow southeastward. Joe Bastardi's old point of cold pushing in like syrup, undercutting everything (including the SE ridge). **with la nina and the very cold air that will sit to our NW we may see some of these situations this winter; or we can hope so. 12z GFS hour 384 dew points:
I put down an extra app of pre-em just in case we had a big warm up mid winter. If the bermuda starts greening up I might need a straight jacket
