Until we can get a block in the north Atlantic or a pacific ridge of a favorable amplitude and location Texas is going to win far more than us
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Pv in Canada with the extension into AK is a killer. Amazing how close that can be to glory but how easy it is to be a fail. Amp the Aleutian ridge dig the trough into the goa and pump the ridge in the west and we are dancing
Hell you could say 2011 looked better in the pacific lol
??
Has nothing to do with December
Sorry, so much BS and banter, I can’t tell which is which. Mods can move
Agreed I doubt we see a dramatic model flip in our favor those just don't happen. There were some wheels in motion around and after d10 that could provide some excitement mid month heading into Christmas but with how poorly the models are performing meh
In a perfect world 
How frustrating. Reminds me of 19/20 where we had the right pieces in place but the strong pv just kept chopping off the amplification attempts and stayed meh
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
But we don't live in a perfect world. We live in the SE.
Stephenb888
Member
Things aren’t looking good. I’ll check back in at the end of December and see what the models are getting wrong again.
As not good as the models look the eps mean isn't bad
But when you look at the spread
There's a lot of room in either direction.
So when you dig into the plumes you can see the massive spread and some weak clustering of above normal, near normal, slightly below normal.
All in all while the general theme should be AN as an aggregate we might see variability as we continue through this look
But when you look at the spread
There's a lot of room in either direction.
So when you dig into the plumes you can see the massive spread and some weak clustering of above normal, near normal, slightly below normal.
All in all while the general theme should be AN as an aggregate we might see variability as we continue through this look
Mr. Golf
Member
There is a guy who is in the energy business who posts at American weather and he mentioned the invests out in western Pacific are throwing the models/ensembles off bad currently fwiw.
tennessee storm
Member
Lmao … really ? I stop reading when I saw word energy company lol…. Just like a guy who works for Kroger told me this la Niña is fading too lol.
Makes sense we don’t have a ton of data collection out in the pacific so we really have to wait until energy makes it near or on the western coast or near Alaska before models get a good handle
Changing my December to Remember vote to
Damaging Drought December. Drought Damning December. I used to be Dusty December. December Dustbowl.
Damaging Drought December. Drought Damning December. I used to be Dusty December. December Dustbowl.
Expectations for anything other than mild dominating the SE US after the next few days and for ~10+ days should be low or else there will likely be disappointment for those preferring cold. A -PNA with +AO +NAO, La Niña, and a very warm MC is about the polar opposite of what would be best. Those wanting a reprieve from cold should be looking forward to this period. After this period we’ll see if the MJO goes according to GEFS and also if other things like +PNA start to reappear.
