tennessee storm
Member
did someone call my name... i will be ready .... lmaoLol. Watch us get a tornado outbreak instead
did someone call my name... i will be ready .... lmaoLol. Watch us get a tornado outbreak instead
thats going to be the big story after this winter is over... dry... dry... dry... we dont get moisture this winter and spring.... look out next summer... blazzing plus drought
thats going to be the big story after this winter is over... dry... dry... dry... we dont get moisture this winter and spring.... look out next summer... blazzing plus drought
Definitely has that mid-late winter NINO look...
What could possibly be the fly in the ointment with this tropical cyclone?This tropical cyclone could be a huge fly in the ointment down the line in our neck of the woods especially as we get close to the 3rd week of the month & models may not be able to resolve the track, intensity and extratropical interaction that occurs w/ 94W...
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So, basically, there could be a system that brings a significant weather event(s) that the models aren't able to "detect." There could be a significant winter storm between days 8-15 or so, but we won't know it until several days prior of the event(s). Isn't what that means?This tropical cyclone could be a huge fly in the ointment down the line in our neck of the woods especially as we get close to the 3rd week of the month & models may not be able to resolve the track, intensity and extratropical interaction that occurs w/ 94W...
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No, I take that as invest 94 could blow our pattern up and screw everything up. Has nothing to do with a winter stormSo, basically, there could be a system that brings a significant weather event(s) that the models aren't able to "detect." There could be a significant winter storm between days 8-15 or so, but we won't know it until several days prior of the event(s). Isn't what that means?
Well, the last sentence of that tweet says, "could spark some volatility in the medium-range model U.S. during the 11-15d period."No, I take that as invest 94 could blow our pattern up and screw everything up. Has nothing to do with a winter storm
Not screw everything up, but the tropical cyclone may boost colder wx our way!!Well, the last sentence of that tweet says, "could spark some volatility in the medium-range model U.S. during the 11-15d period."
Which has nothing to due with a winter storm . He is talking about the pattern and the changes that we could see in the 11-15 day periodWell, the last sentence of that tweet says, "could spark some volatility in the medium-range model U.S. during the 11-15d period."
That is correct if a recurve happens. Not sure what it means if there is no recurve.Not screw everything up, but the tropical cyclone may boost colder wx our way!!
A recurve does not always mean colder weatherThat is correct if a recurve happens. Not sure what it means if there is no recurve.
I would assume that if there is no recurve it is probably bad news for us.That is correct if a recurve happens. Not sure what it means if there is no recurve.
Webber's post on it yesterday does show it promotes blocking though.A recurve does not always mean colder weather
Volatility is referencing the potential pattern change not a specific event. Webb states this could be a fly in the ointment, recall back during hurricane season he elaborated in great detail how recurving typhoons effect the upper pattern, planetary wave breaks, etc etc that effect east coast troughs/ridges. I think the fly in the ointment is the uncertainty of what lies ahead cold/torch/normal due to a recurving typhoon that models just can't resolve. Proceed with caution...Well, the last sentence of that tweet says, "could spark some volatility in the medium-range model U.S. during the 11-15d period."