Pattern December Dud 👀

[Stevo24]

Regardless on how long it takes to reload for winter chances, I enjoy Christmas feeling more like Christmas and less like summer.

 

[SD]

Merry not-torchmas!

Lawn mower ️ oof womp

 

[KyloG]

Merry not-torchmas!

Seasonal temps is good for me…the overnight lows in the 60’s is the worst and we will get plenty of that from May through Sept.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Seasonal temps is good for me…the overnight lows in the 60’s is the worst and we will get plenty of that from May through Sept.

Heck we'll be in the 60s overnight on Monday night

 

[Webberweather53]

+EAMT is getting stronger later this coming week >> more +EPO in week 2.

Yay! (not)

 

[Webberweather53]

Good news though is the +EAMT trend might help finally kick the MJO out into the West Pacific later in the month into early January.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is that look where it’s just mid. It’s not 70s and Bermuda grass but it’s not snowing either. Its extremely mid

 

[SD]

This is that look where it’s just mid. It’s not 70s and Bermuda grass but it’s not snowing either. Its extremely mid View attachment 155615

Yep it's not the terrible fenced off SER but it's hard to find any way for it to snow outside of some tiny probably polar pac wave driving SE into the region and a lucky few catching a change over in the deformation band before it loses its cold connection

 

[BIG FROSTY]

Let’s see how it does!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SD]

Down to 40 already wonder if we can sneak in one more below freezing low

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[weather bubba]

Down to 40 already wonder if we can sneak in one more below freezing low

I would bet on that happening. It will be out last below freezing low until next Friday so if you like scraping frost off your windshield enjoy it while you can.

 

[SENC]

23 yesterday Morning (Struggled) to get too 45F today, *here on the Coast*)

Already 35F. (NOW is when ya'll wanna get yer Oysters & Collards)

 

[GolfishardIknowit70]

I do hope we can get the mjo into the colder phases and whatever else we need to get to get us back to a colder regime moving forward

 

[RBR71]

Down to 40 already wonder if we can sneak in one more below freezing low

34.3 already so for sure one more sub-freezing night here

 

[NCSNOW]

Albermarle down to 30 already
Sanford 29 @ 8:51.
Dewpoints in mid teens,its a slam dunk radiational cooling night. Fire hazzard as well tommorow

 

[Avalanche]

Albermarle down to 30 already
Sanford 29 @ 8:51.
Dewpoints in mid teens,its a slam dunk radiational cooling night. Fire hazzard as well tommorow

I guess I’m pulling for warm weather since it only rains when it’s well above freezing

 

[RBR71]

34.3 already so for sure one more sub-freezing night here

Welp, winds have picked up a little and temp has risen to 36. Might not make it below freezing after all

 

[LukeBarrette]

I might get NAMed here soon

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Man these are massive shifts in a day. This isnt even far off anymore

 

[NCSNOW]

Bummer

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Some really good trend in modeling tonight. Not exactly where we want it, but the pattern is trending more amplified

 

[1300m]

Had to go all the way to Boston but the 1300m snow curse has been broken.

 

[Tarheel1]

Haven't seen these in person before. Pretty neat. Not the most perfectly formed example, but it's still pretty cool to see them over top of several peaks in West Jefferson this morning.

View attachment 155607

Awesome man! Those are my favorite clouds! Even get them in Iowa somehow!?

 

[Tarheel1]

The torch has been lit! Only 25-40 degrees below normal for a few days! Normal high is about 35 or so, I believe? Cold any way you slice it

 

[SD]

28 this morning 10 straight below freezing lows. Small victories.

 

[LukeBarrette]

1-2 inches…
Sign me up. Trends have been all over the place though.

 

[Avalanche]

Awesome man! Those are my favorite clouds! Even get them in Iowa somehow!? View attachment 155633

Sandbar needs to see this pic

 

[BIG FROSTY]

30 this morning

 

[SD]

I wish I could unsee that 6z AI run

 

[accu35]

6z gfs this morning was a cold run

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

I wish I could unsee that 6z AI run

I wish I could see it.

 

[SD]

I wish I could see it.

Models: ECMWF-AIFS - Pivotal Weather

View ECMWF-AIFS weather model forecast map image for 2 m AGL Temperature in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.

www.pivotalweather.com

 

[Brent]

There's actually still a small snow signal for Tulsa on the EPS around the 19th

Pretty crazy considering all the torch talk

 

[Stevo24]

I wish I could unsee that 6z AI run

In a good way or bad way

 

[SD]

In a good way or bad way

It's good late but it's warm next week which shouldn't be a surprise

 

[FallsLake]

In a good way or bad way

Here's December 21st. I don't have any of the surface maps, but you get the idea.

Dew Point:


6 hour QPF:

 

[LukeBarrette]

Great trends here from GFS and Canadian. What I’m watching currently: How fast the vort goes negative and whether the bottom of the vort trends SW or not.

 

[NCSNOW]

Greensboro sitting at -11.2 below normal a quarter of the way into the month of December. Weve never been in the win column by this much before on Dec 7th. Not even close. What a way to kickoff the season.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The day 6-7 time frame is worth keeping an eye out for the favored CAD regions with a 1040+ HP near NY.