Pattern December Doldrums 2025 🎄 ❄️

[jackendrickwx]

EPS beginning to consolidate precip with this thu night fropa rain. the next interesting thing beyond today's arctic fropa and cold temps tomorrow morning. good moisture throughout the column and nice front-parallel flow + jet streak right entrance vibes. nothing crazy but again, looks like the next "story" locally

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

I was having a real battle getting the API to work from the official stations so these arent the official site obs yet just a sample from each counties center point

I’ve seen it from news outlets too, so just a curious mind. Love the maps!

 

[NBAcentel]

EPS beginning to consolidate precip with this thu night fropa rain. the next interesting thing beyond today's arctic fropa and cold temps tomorrow morning. good moisture throughout the column and nice front-parallel flow + jet streak right entrance vibes. nothing crazy but again, looks like the next "story" locally
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If we can dig a bit more then a low topped QLCS doesn’t seem crazy. Dews/temps are borderline though and it’s likely to be overnight-morning time which is no bueno for instability

 

[jackendrickwx]

If we can dig a bit more then a low topped QLCS doesn’t seem crazy. Dews/temps are borderline though and it’s likely to be overnight-morning time which is no bueno for instability

yeah i was looking for some mucape at least and there is hardly any. a few eps members toss some out. could be a gusty line amidst a mass of light/mdt rain

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Sorry for the impeding map floor, playing around with python today

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Wind direction today is something I haven’t seen in a while. Straight out of the north and trying to break my flagpole Christmas tree

 

[RBR71]

And another one! Some of y’all are living right. @RBR71
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Btw, this was a fail. Cold air chasing moisture never works east of the apps

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I mean it’s a decent windchill forecast. Nice to go ahead and get an upper teen low by mid December. I’ll chalk it as a win. It’s early

 

[Downeastnc]

Btw, this was a fail. Cold air chasing moisture never works east of the apps

Looks like something might be getting to the ground just NE of me...

 

[Webberweather53]

Looks like something might be getting to the ground just NE of me...

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Yep there’s the lake effect snow band trying to setup as the NAM had shown last night

 

[Downeastnc]

Yep there’s the lake effect snow band trying to setup as the NAM had shown last night

Seems kinda east to be off Buggs/Kerr/Gaston

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Hauling trash with my 8 year old now and can confirm this is a brutal wind chill

 

[Webberweather53]

Seems kinda east to be off Buggs/Kerr/Gaston

Looks like there’s just barely enough forcing and leftover moisture (in part supplied by the lakes) to get some isolated snow/sleet/gruapel showers going

 

[Webberweather53]

Seems kinda east to be off Buggs/Kerr/Gaston

The surface flow is actually parallel to the long axis of Kerr Lake & Lake Gaston, so it’s picking up some moisture off the lakes while the low-level profile is absolutely unstable over the lake, favoring the development of convection.

The real reason those showers are getting blown way off to the east is actually because of the westerly vertical wind shear aloft closer to the middle and upper parts of the cloud layer, with much stronger westerly winds aloft

 

[Downeastnc]

The surface flow is actually parallel to the long axis of Kerr Lake & Lake Gaston, so it’s picking up some moisture off the lakes while the low-level profile is absolutely unstable over the lake, favoring the development of convection.

The real reason those showers are getting blown way off to the east is actually because of the westerly vertical wind shear aloft closer to the middle and upper parts of the cloud layer, with much stronger westerly winds aloft
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Looked awesome with the sun hitting it definitely convective looking.

 

[WeatherNC]

Pretty cool to see this little band being enhanced by the Pamlico River, don't see that too often.

 

[Webberweather53]

18z GFS digs this weekend’s (& Wed’s) troughs even more than the previous run, which leads to even faster -NAO onset this time.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[Stevo24]

18z GFS digs this weekend’s (& Wed’s) troughs even more than the previous run, which leads to even faster -NAO onset this time.

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What does this mean for the LR (January)

 

[JHS]

The trend on the GFS right now is for it to be drier each run for many of us. Drought will be the big story in the southeast for some time to come it looks like.

 

[EmersonGA]

This is the type of cold that cuts through you. 27/11 with gusty winds. I’ve got four pulllets not used to this so I had to break out the brooder lamp.

 

[Webberweather53]

What does this mean for the LR (January)

Could be an interesting early part of January as this runs its course

 

[Webberweather53]

Wild to see this band of snow coming off the Albemarle Sound

 

[Webberweather53]

Wow, starting to see 35 dBz in that band of snow coming off the Albemarle Sound. Legitimately ripping fatties there between Columbia & Plymouth

Probably the most intense lake or sound effect snow band I’ve ever seen in NC

 

[CNCsnwfan1210]

Wow, starting to see 35 dBz in that band of snow coming off the Albemarle Sound. Legitimately ripping fatties there between Columbia & Plymouth

Probably the most intense lake or sound effect snow band I’ve ever seen in NC

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Wind trajectory is just right, that is cool stuff right there!


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[Webberweather53]

Man if I lived within an hour or so of there I’d be chasing that band of snow, because you know it’s absolutely dumping underneath it

 

[Tsappfrog20]

Man if I lived within an hour or so of there I’d be chasing that band of snow, because you know it’s absolutely dumping underneath it

I looked and thought about it but I’m two hours away so I couldn’t make it there in time most likely


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[Webberweather53]

I looked and thought about it but I’m two hours away so I couldn’t make it there in time most likely


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Yeah if I lived in and around Greenville or so I absolutely would have chased that

 

[Tarheel1]

I was today years old when I heard of these!!?? Very interesting! Currently 6 degrees!

 

[Brent]

First really cold day of the winter haha. Didn't get above freezing

 

[Webberweather53]

It’s snowing in Ocracoke atm

https://ocracokeharborinn.com/webcams/

 

[Webberweather53]

Lmao Ocracoke getting smoked

https://www.surfchex.com/cams/ocracoke-nc-live-web-cam-surfchex/

 

[SD]

Im impressed so far

 

[Tarheel1]

It’s snowing in Ocracoke atm

https://ocracokeharborinn.com/webcams/

Jimmy should be at the outer banks! Snow there before Fountain Inn

 

[BullCityWx]

Already 19

 

[ChrisAMB]

I’ve been in a snow band before out there at KDH that was coming from the north off Chesapeake bay but can’t recall seeing one coming off the Albemarle or Pamlico.

Makes me wish Lake Waccamaw was deeper to we’d get lake effect here.

 

[jackendrickwx]

High elevation roundup as lake/bay effect snow falls on OBX

Mt Jefferson: 0.1F
Fryingpan Mtn: 1.6F
Mitchell: -3.6F
Beech: -1.4F
Jefferson: 8F
Boone: 9F

Many wind chills below -20 up top. NCSCO having server issues so idk what grandfather managed to get to wind chill wise, but I’d guess they grazed -30

26.6 here in Spartanburg

 

[Tsappfrog20]

Already down to 21 in Youngsville!


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[BIG FROSTY]

A crisp 15.4 currently


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[NWG_WX14]

16.0 with a windchill of 3.4. Bone chilling out tonight!

 

[jackendrickwx]

Fairfield, Hyde county @Webberweather53