Wow does the snow just hit a brick wall as soon as it gets close to Dallas ? Looks like a sharp gradient.
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Pattern December Discussion
- Thread starter Storm5
- Start date
Brent
Member
SoutheastRidge link said:
Happened in the Christmas Eve 2009 storm too... only an inch or two here and 14" in OKC... storm track...
2009 - Rare blizzard conditions impacted portions of North Texas. As much as 9 inches of snow fell in Jacksboro and Bowie, and winds in excess of 50 mph resulted in drifts of 3 to 5 feet. For Dallas/Fort Worth, it was the first measurable Christmas Eve snowfall on record.
DFW also had a White Christmas in 2012
Brent link said:
Happened in the Christmas Eve 2009 storm too... only an inch or two here and 14" in OKC... storm track...
2009 - Rare blizzard conditions impacted portions of North Texas. As much as 9 inches of snow fell in Jacksboro and Bowie, and winds in excess of 50 mph resulted in drifts of 3 to 5 feet. For Dallas/Fort Worth, it was the first measurable Christmas Eve snowfall on record.
DFW also had a White Christmas in 2012
[/quote] Texas weather is so wild and crazy. It puts our weather in GA to shame.
Brent
Member
SoutheastRidge link said:
Happened in the Christmas Eve 2009 storm too... only an inch or two here and 14" in OKC... storm track...
2009 - Rare blizzard conditions impacted portions of North Texas. As much as 9 inches of snow fell in Jacksboro and Bowie, and winds in excess of 50 mph resulted in drifts of 3 to 5 feet. For Dallas/Fort Worth, it was the first measurable Christmas Eve snowfall on record.
DFW also had a White Christmas in 2012
[/quote] Texas weather is so wild and crazy. It puts our weather in GA to shame.
[/quote]
Yeah but being realistic DFW has its fair share of snow disappointments too... the metro has missed several big snows by 50 miles because of storm track.
Brent link said:
Happened in the Christmas Eve 2009 storm too... only an inch or two here and 14" in OKC... storm track...
2009 - Rare blizzard conditions impacted portions of North Texas. As much as 9 inches of snow fell in Jacksboro and Bowie, and winds in excess of 50 mph resulted in drifts of 3 to 5 feet. For Dallas/Fort Worth, it was the first measurable Christmas Eve snowfall on record.
DFW also had a White Christmas in 2012
[/quote] Texas weather is so wild and crazy. It puts our weather in GA to shame.
[/quote]
Yeah but being realistic DFW has its fair share of snow disappointments too... the metro has missed several big snows by 50 miles because of storm track.
[/quote] Yeah DFW itself is not in the best location but you don't have to go far at all to the north and west to see some good snows in many years. Sherman and Gainesville seem to get snow almost every year.
Brent
Member
I don't think the Euro could be any further apart from the GFS good grief... 60s in OKC, DFW near 70 for Christmas and zero snow. Okay then lmao
StormStalker
Member
Cold front has passed through here now down to 40 degrees. It was 74 at midnight.
Storm5
Member
Re: December Discussion
Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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ATLwxfan
Member
Para also gives northern Alabama 2 or 3 inches from today's storm so...yeah.Storm5 link said:Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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Storm5
Member
Para also gives northern Alabama 2 or 3 inches from today's storm so...yeah.ATLWxFan link said:[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg2605#msg2605 date=1482057829]
Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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[/quote]
hahah yep ......
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Storm5
Member
Re: December Discussion
so the gfs in one run went from an all out blizzard in Oklahoma to a winter storm threat for the SE ......... sounds about right .
I will bet the house 12z has a cutter
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so the gfs in one run went from an all out blizzard in Oklahoma to a winter storm threat for the SE ......... sounds about right .
I will bet the house 12z has a cutter
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I'll take every bit of what the 6z gfs is selling
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WilkesboroDude
Member
Ugh this is NOT what you want to see from the GFS tho...it will be impossible for it to say the same for 200 hours. Needed this snow threat to show up about 5 days from so we can lock it in within 48. On to the next one gonna go ahead and red flag it.
DadOfJax
Member
How pathetically wrong has rainfall total forecasts been since we broke the drought.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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I'm buying! Just about everyone on the board would see snow from that storm, except our new TX friends!SD link said:
tennessee storm
Member
Re: December Discussion
well if it cuts storm... hope it cuts up trough the spine of the apps... which is technically called a apps runner... which would be ok with me lol... course just having little fun here... but key thing were starting to see here... big thing here is, there is a signal for a big storm system around xmas period... stay tunedStorm5 link said:
ATLwxfan
Member
I'm all in till the 12z.
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The 0Z Para also dives the energy south/southeast similar to 6z, instead of closing off back over Texas like what the OP 0z GFS did. It does close off over Ohio Valley and goes to a neutral to about negative tilted at 5H. This looks more like a wrap around threat for Western portions of the SE at surface on the parallel verbatim.
0z CMC/ECMWF isn't as amped up with the system, nor is the Western ridge that pumped up out west so the system tracks through Mid West to Ohio Valley.
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0z CMC/ECMWF isn't as amped up with the system, nor is the Western ridge that pumped up out west so the system tracks through Mid West to Ohio Valley.
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Brent
Member
14 degrees here coldest December morning in 3 years forecast was 18
And tonight should be colder
And tonight should be colder
Storm5
Member
I wouldn't be . there is no support from the gefs for an OP like solution. I expect it to go back to a Texas like solution then cut to the lakes. Hope I'm wrongATLWxFan link said:
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Storm5
Member
ok see you next threat thenWilkesboroDude link said:
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Storm5 link said:the para crushed tennessee, it was perfectly timed....
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Lol yes it did. Like you mention above this idea doesn't have support from the other 0z global runs or the Ensembles. Guess we will see what 12z spits out at us.
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Storm5
Member
StoneMtnWx link said:[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg2621#msg2621 date=1482070195]
the para crushed tennessee, it was perfectly timed....
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Lol yes it did. Like you mention above this idea doesn't have support from the other 0z global runs or the Ensembles. Guess we will see what 12z spits out at us.
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[/quote]
The key to this is exactly what you mentioned. The energy has to come out so it's not cutoff out west and so it does not seperate from the northern stream . It's lights out of it gets left behind which seems like the likely option
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SD link said:
you got that right but I'm not biting yet.... it's on an island but hopefully it's leading the way
whatalife
Moderator
Storm5 link said:Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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Just a little wrap around snow for you. Sadly not supported by the GEFS. One can always hope.
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Storm5
Member
whatalife link said:[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg2605#msg2605 date=1482057829]
Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
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Just a little wrap around snow for you. Sadly not supported by the GEFS. One can always hope.
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[/quote]
there is actually more eps support for the general idea vs gefs . Neither of which is great but at least it's something to keep us entertained for the next hour till the 12z rolls out
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whatalife
Moderator
Storm5 link said:[quote author=whatalife link=topic=2.msg2626#msg2626 date=1482071098]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg2605#msg2605 date=1482057829]
Holy s*** lol the 00z para for the day after Christmas
and the 06z gfs same period
For the record the euro has a completely different look
Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
Just a little wrap around snow for you. Sadly not supported by the GEFS. One can always hope.
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[/quote]
there is actually more eps support for the general idea vs gefs . Neither of which is great but at least it's something to keep us entertained for the next hour till the 12z rolls out
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[/quote]
No doubt...
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Storm5
Member
if your crossing everything you have for an 06z gfs like solution you don't want this which was the 00z run. If you see this starting to happen on the 12z run just close the computer
you wanna see something closer to this . This isn't great, but it's much better vs the above pic
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you wanna see something closer to this . This isn't great, but it's much better vs the above pic
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This run of the gfs will be completely different than the 6z
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Brent
Member
Lol yup
Far cry from the 0z too
Far cry from the 0z too
T
Thundersnow89
Guest
12z says don't be silly....
The 12z CMC/GFS not good
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tennessee storm
Member
yep it closes off way to early... next 
N
NorthGaWinter
Guest
This one will be fun to watch. It's really not that far from bringing the goods
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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It's about as far from bringing anything good, as can be! With the AO rising till atleast early January, we would have better luck hitting the lottery , than getting snow or ice in the SouthNorthGaWinter link said:
Storm5
Member
the 12z gefs is worseSD link said:
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JLL1973
Member
It's about as far from bringing anything good, as can be! With the AO rising till atleast early January, we would have better luck hitting the lottery , than getting snow or ice in the SouthTarheel1 link said:
[/quote]
have a little patience . winter hasn't even officially began yet
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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the 12z gefs is worseStorm5 link said:
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[/quote]
Sometimes you gotta hit rock bottom, then things only go up from there!?
Let's see if it looks like this craptastic, dumpster-fire, in January, the PANIC!