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Pattern December Discussion

whatalife link said:
You don't want to see it anyway...Oh wait you have an addiction issues...LOL!


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thank god I feed my addictions with way to many subscribtions to pay sites. always a backup:)

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=2.msg1260#msg1260 date=1481429366]
You don't want to see it anyway...Oh wait you have an addiction issues...LOL!


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thank god I feed my addictions with way to many subscribtions to pay sites. always a backup:)

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[/quote]
AMEN!!!


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whatalife link said:
For real. Congrats Chicago SMH!


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Y'all stay up to watch the Euro cave!!
 
well well gfs is correcting the cold dump east and not dumping in the west

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Tarheel1 link said:
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=2.msg1265#msg1265 date=1481430086]
For real. Congrats Chicago SMH!


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Y'all stay up to watch the Euro cave!!
[/quote]
yep
whatalife link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg1262#msg1262 date=1481429452]
[quote author=whatalife link=topic=2.msg1260#msg1260 date=1481429366]
You don't want to see it anyway...Oh wait you have an addiction issues...LOL!


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Click to expand...
thank god I feed my addictions with way to many subscribtions to pay sites. always a backup:)

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[/quote]
AMEN!!!


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[/quote]


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much more interesting gfs run after the cutter (which is probably wrong )

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Storm5 link said:
much more interesting gfs run after the cutter (which is probably wrong )

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Yep...


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a148b09388663013c447a0acceb81c1b.jpg
98c60d1b4f73e09ce0a81972b3909e04.jpg


CMC run.


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12 hours of ice around these parts, no thanks.  That's at face value and not counting wedging hanging on longer.  A tad bit scary because the Canadian tends to handle icy situations okay.
 
Starburst link said:
12 hours of ice around these parts, no thanks.  That's at face value and not counting wedging hanging on longer.  A tad bit scary because the Canadian tends to handle icy situations okay.
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We can always hope and pray it's wrong...Have I mentioned I hate ice storms...


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Bad news for NE GA. (CMC Ice accumulation)

bad_news.gif
 
Remember, that heavy rain will cause temps to raise (latent heating) so the 2 inch amounts are likely over-done.  Still a nasty storm.
 
Anyone got good maps of around the 312 hour GFS... on NCEP it looks real interesting here. I've been spoiled by tropical tidbits lol
 
Brent link said:
Anyone got good maps of around the 312 hour GFS... on NCEP it looks real interesting here. I've been spoiled by tropical tidbits lol
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Here is 312 from the 00z GFS:

312tx.gif
 
Going off of past experience on CAD events, I'm certain that if the Canadian were to be right about that 1041mb HP sitting up in Upstate NY at the onset of the storm, there's no way most of N.GA (including Atlanta) doesn't see some wintry mix even if the ultimate result is a changeover to a cold rain.

Honestly, the setup on the 00z Canadian reminds me a lot of that winter storm in January or February 2016 only better.
 
Weatherlover92 link said:
Going off of past experience on CAD events, I'm certain that if the Canadian were to be right about that 1041mb HP sitting up in Upstate NY at the onset of the storm, there's no way most of N.GA (including Atlanta) doesn't see some wintry mix even if the ultimate result is a changeover to a cold rain.

Honestly, the setup on the 00z Canadian reminds me a lot of that winter storm in January or February 2016 only better.
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Wedge conditions are generally under-estimated.  I did notice the surface low basically tracks across ATL on-top of ATL though.  Which I guess could cause too much WAA even into the lower levels.
 
Starburst link said:
[quote author=Brent link=topic=2.msg1288#msg1288 date=1481433447]
Anyone got good maps of around the 312 hour GFS... on NCEP it looks real interesting here. I've been spoiled by tropical tidbits lol
Click to expand...

Here is 312 from the 00z GFS:




Looks real interesting for Texas Panhandle!!
 
Thanks

Yeah that was close but not quite for DFW(maybe as it ends)... still I'm very intrigued by that timeframe and it's still fantasy land anyway.
 
I believe Delta said we would have an increased risk of ice storms this winter. We will see what happens. I'd rather have one in January so I can get a day off from class though lol.
 
Didn't expect any of the models to lock on a solution this far out for next weekend.  They will all go back and forth probably for a few more days.
 
Brick Tamland link said:
Didn't expect any of the models to lock on a solution this far out for next weekend.  They will all go back and forth probably for a fee more days.
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how many more days Brick Lol
 
So much for " front loaded" looking like balmy Christmas and hoping for a better pattern and blocking heading into January!? #EXCITED
 
Tarheel1 link said:
So much for " front loaded" looking like balmy Christmas and hoping for a better pattern and blocking heading into January!? #EXCITED
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I have a little more hope for this winter but not looking forward to a possible balmy Christmas.


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