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Pattern December Discussion

this is a huge difference

12z gfs
94328ae93ebbe22bafbbac7874fa0691.jpg


12z euro
ad9c3157b3f668a33364170b8046477a.jpg


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gonna be a fun 12z euro finish with energy coming out of the rockies

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Why did Fox News just say "could be the first polar vortex of the season".  Man, here we go again.
 
Storm5 link said:
gonna be a fun 12z euro finish with energy coming out of the rockies

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Click to expand...
Looks to me like more of a thunderstorm threat towards the end - 60's to Nashville??? Meh...cold air chasing left over moisture at end
 
Re: December Discussion

not a bad run at all nice epo and tries to bridge over the top which would be so sweet . 
69a6e42e40d4665fc959dde66794eef5.jpg


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Supershow link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg671#msg671 date=1481222970]
gonna be a fun 12z euro finish with energy coming out of the rockies

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Click to expand...
Looks to me like more of a thunderstorm threat towards the end - 60's to Nashville??? Meh...cold air chasing left over moisture at end

[/quote]
I'm worried about what type of pattern sets up more so than what an op run spits out at the surface

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=Supershow link=topic=2.msg673#msg673 date=1481223480]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg671#msg671 date=1481222970]
gonna be a fun 12z euro finish with energy coming out of the rockies

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Looks to me like more of a thunderstorm threat towards the end - 60's to Nashville??? Meh...cold air chasing left over moisture at end

[/quote]
I'm worried about what type of pattern sets up more so than what an op run spits out at the surface

Couldn't agree more - You and other long timers on here are much more adept at presenting the "science" of why things are than I could ever hope too.  I am doing good just to paste a thumbnail image of what I perceive people like to see ;D

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[/quote]
 
SD link said:
Euro is 74 next Saturday....golf time!
Click to expand...
I would love it to be that warm next weekend honestly. I've got lots of stuff to do outside

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Re: December Discussion

Supershow link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg675#msg675 date=1481224183]
[quote author=Supershow link=topic=2.msg673#msg673 date=1481223480]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=2.msg671#msg671 date=1481222970]
gonna be a fun 12z euro finish with energy coming out of the rockies

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Looks to me like more of a thunderstorm threat towards the end - 60's to Nashville??? Meh...cold air chasing left over moisture at end

[/quote]
I'm worried about what type of pattern sets up more so than what an op run spits out at the surface

Couldn't agree more - You and other long timers on here are much more adept at presenting the "science" of why things are than I could ever hope too.  I am doing good just to paste a thumbnail image of what I perceive people like to see ;D

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]
[/quote]
your good a good job of that. can you right click the image to blow it up? download tapatalk , it's so easy to upload images with

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Storm5 link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg678#msg678 date=1481224657]
Euro is 74 next Saturday....golf time!
Click to expand...
I would love it to be that warm next weekend honestly. I've got lots of stuff to do outside

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Stop wearing shorts and its not cold
 
Starburst link said:
Why did Fox News just say "could be the first polar vortex of the season".  Man, here we go again.
Click to expand...
fear the PV

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bigstick10 link said:
[quote author=SD link=topic=2.msg678#msg678 date=1481224657]
Euro is 74 next Saturday....golf time!
Click to expand...

Oh why not, wouldn't be surprised.  Although I think the Euro might be out to lunch.
[/quote]

I actually agree a little bit. At 240 on the 0z run there was a low near Chicago at 240 on the 12z run its near Denver..
 
GainesvilleWX link said:
[quote author=Brick Tamland link=topic=2.msg663#msg663 date=1481220820]
Wow, 9 and 14 please!

5849a0800cb82_ScreenShot2016-12-08at1_02_04PM.png.c558f642bfcd050fba8ceb1a43bb20c6.png
Click to expand...
Those last images seem to have a CAD signature.


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[/quote]

That's what I was thinking as well when looking at that. Either way it's nice to see so early in the season.
 
Anyone care to explain why someone might be inclined to get excited looking at the picture of the 12z Euro at 24 hours from now (some blue color) vs the forecast Euro at 240 hours (lots of green color)?


 
Supershow link said:
Anyone care to explain why someone might be inclined to get excited looking at the picture of the 12z Euro at 24 hours from now (some blue color) vs the forecast Euro at 240 hours (lots of green color)?
Click to expand...

These are showing the strat pv at 50mb. It looks like its being split with a lobe setting up over the US which should correspond to the troposphere following suit at some point. Its also nice to see as the Euro for a time was showing the strat PV strengthening and contracting to the pole
 
SD link said:
[quote author=Supershow link=topic=2.msg693#msg693 date=1481227565]
Anyone care to explain why someone might be inclined to get excited looking at the picture of the 12z Euro at 24 hours from now (some blue color) vs the forecast Euro at 240 hours (lots of green color)?
Click to expand...

These are showing the strat pv at 50mb. It looks like its being split with a lobe setting up over the US which should correspond to the troposphere following suit at some point. Its also nice to see as the Euro for a time was showing the strat PV strengthening and contracting to the pole
[/quote]
Thanks for the explanation SD. IF this comes to fruition I would think it would be another piece available to facilitate our Winter chances down the line.


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