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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Arcc said:
First and foremost, say yes to the 12z GEFS. Beautiful. Big ridge out west with constant energy in the SW.

Secondly, the FV3 look at 500mb is how you get a big phaser in the gulf or a one-two punch similar to February 2014.
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Yep the GEFS has that good look to it.
gfs-ens_z500a_us_51.png
 
Arcc said:
First and foremost, say yes to the 12z GEFS. Beautiful. Big ridge out west with constant energy in the SW.

Secondly, the FV3 look at 500mb is how you get a big phaser in the gulf or a one-two punch similar to February 2014.
Click to expand...

Also what it just spat out won’t happen. That s/w is too amped compared to 500mb vorticity last run it’s hundreds of miles from previous runs. Curious though the amount of cold air has spread though.


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Storm5 said:
We no longer care about the Carolinas they’ve already cashed in . Is back to the west can do very well with an apps runner so.....

Let her run !!!


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Uh excuse me, but 2 or 3 inches of snow sleet and freezing rain and 36 hours without power is not what I call cashing in. I want a good snowstorm.
 
Storm5 said:
We no longer care about the Carolinas they’ve already cashed in . Is back to the west can do very well with an apps runner so.....

Let her run !!!


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This is not a sexual joke but my 2 inches leaves a lot to be desired :confused:
 
Just fotracks, although the Euro and FV3 are not to dissimilar but being only 96 hours out let's see how they perform
Storm5 said:
This is fake news .

That is a good winter storm . I’d almost kill for that


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Should we start making a list of things you'd do for a winter storm..... it's borderline disturbing Lol
 
Lots of potential on the 12z FV3 after that warm cutter around hr250. Everything after that is up in the air. Can’t ask for a better LR Christmas look. Seems like most years we are looking at deep red anomolies in the SE so the little pieces of energy flying around are irrelevant
 
Per FV3, In the long range, the Northern stream is way too active for my liking. We can still score but I just don’t love it. I have to complain about something
 
Didn't show a storm this time but the FV3 still looked nice to me. Bring it on, considering that the early December storm was shown in some kind of form at 384, I'm actually pretty excited about that timeframe. Would love to get stuck in Lafayette for a bit. :cool:
 
Someone had posted an image of the FV3 having the right idea about the previous storm more than 300 hours out, btw. Not that it played out the exact way or anything, but it did long range nail the storm in the correct time frame, high and all.

Seeing a potential storm of some sort around Christmas on the FV3 is quite interesting. The GFS also has an idea about some Gulf mischief.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Per FV3, In the long range, the Northern stream is way too active for my liking. We can still score but I just don’t love it. I have to complain about something
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That sounds great! We get our best snows from clippers!! I’m all in and no warm noses!
 
Storm5 said:
This is fake news .

That is a good winter storm . I’d almost kill for that


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I agree, Any snow of 2 inches or more is plenty of snow and enough to cover everything in white. In fact I’d much rather have 3-4 snows of 2-3 inches throughout the winter then one big dog of 6 inches or more. You will never see me complaining if I have at least 2 inches of snow on the ground. I’d bet a lot of people who got a big snow in Carolina recently would take it back if they were told it’s the only snow you’ll see, or you can trade it for 3-5 snows of 2-4 inches throughout the rest of winter.
 
olhausen said:
I agree, Any snow of 2 inches or more is plenty of snow and enough to cover everything in white. In fact I’d much rather have 3-4 snows of 2-3 inches throughout the winter then one big dog of 6 inches or more. You will never see me complaining if I have at least 2 inches of snow on the ground. I’d bet a lot of people who got a big snow in Carolina recently would take it back if they were told it’s the only snow you’ll see, or you can trade it for 3-5 snows of 2-4 inches throughout the rest of winter.
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2 inches is fine as long as it’s not preceded by 2” of rain. It’s just a damn mess
 
metwannabe said:
Just fotracks, although the Euro and FV3 are not to dissimilar but being only 96 hours out let's see how they perform

Should we start making a list of things you'd do for a winter storm..... it's borderline disturbing Lol
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1) loan out wife
2) kill for 2 inches and ice
3)


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olhausen said:
I agree, Any snow of 2 inches or more is plenty of snow and enough to cover everything in white. In fact I’d much rather have 3-4 snows of 2-3 inches throughout the winter then one big dog of 6 inches or more. You will never see me complaining if I have at least 2 inches of snow on the ground. I’d bet a lot of people who got a big snow in Carolina recently would take it back if they were told it’s the only snow you’ll see, or you can trade it for 3-5 snows of 2-4 inches throughout the rest of winter.
Click to expand...

2 inches in the Georgia piedmont is just perfect.


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