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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

I just don't see why the GFS would be projecting the system barreling through two strong highs, one off to the north, and another high off to the NE from the system. It just doesn't make since. I think we all can agree from our experience that the system will not cut with two strong highs like that.
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Don’t get me wrong, I love that some of the ops and ens are showing a bit. But this is one of those timing events. They’re hard to do in deep winter, much less early December. Fingers crossed.
 
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:
This will be a huge coup for the GFS if right. Right now it’s Euro, Euro EPS, CMC, and GFS ensembles verses GFS. Need to check with my bookie to see where the line is at.
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At this lead time it's all irrelevant. If this were five days away I would be saying the same thing.
 
Rain Cold said:
Don’t get me wrong, I love that some of the ops and ens are showing a bit. But this is one of those timing events. They’re hard to do in deep winter, much less early December. Fingers crossed.
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Normally I would say that there is a chance that this thing cuts. However, I am having a hard time believing it with the predicted set-up. Now, if that high in the mid-west is weak or late to the party, then yes it will cut up in the weakness of the ridge. Just as a tropical storm will do in the warm season. Best advice is to watch this thing for now and note the ensemble trends.
 
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