Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[WxWatch]

Thanks FV3 for the realistic run! All we need is that south trend which is still possible.

 

[Snowfan]

FV3 looks WAY better and then GEFS is so beautiful.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Not one drop of precip fell as frozen verbatim yet I end up with 15+...k

 

[Rain Cold]

Normally I would say that there is a chance that this thing cuts. However, I am having a hard time believing it with the predicted set-up. Now, if that high in the mid-west is weak or late to the party, then yes it will cut up in the weakness of the ridge. Just as a tropical storm will do in the warm season. Best advice is to watch this thing for now and note the ensemble trends.

Yep, ensembles are key at this point anyway. We’re still too far away to be too excited or worried anyway. Nice to be talking about something this early.

 

[Rain Cold]

That’s the best clown map yet. Probably most of that is ice or cold rain in eastern and southern zones, but still.

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That’s the best clown map yet. Probably most of that is ice or cold rain in eastern and southern zones, but still.

*all

 

[Rain Cold]

There’s got to be a bug in the FV-3 snow map. Most of the snow maps depict ice as snow, we get that. But the FV-3 shows rain as snow. That’s really bad.

 

[Brick Tamland]

FV3 crushes 3/4 of NC. Really hard not to get excited seeing that and what the Euro showed earlier, and how good the ensembles looked, too. GFS op seems to be the outlier right now.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Your right, that is a clown map and that's alot of ice

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Corrected snowmap, note just showing how incorrect tidbits snowmaps are

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Corrected snowmap, note just showing how incorrect tidbits snowmaps are

Yikes, 6 inches of snow and .75 of ice here may mean lights out for a week.

 

[WxWatch]

If you look at the 850mb temps and surface temps. at 12z Sunday (next Sunday,) on the FV3. The precip could be all snow or sleet, or could be a mixture of both for some areas. I noticed that the FV3 don't depict p. types well. This is why it's always good to manually view the temp maps.

 

[Metwannabe]

There’s got to be a bug in the FV-3 snow map. Most of the snow maps depict ice as snow, we get that. But the FV-3 shows rain as snow. That’s really bad.

I do not understand all the modern day technology and they can't program a model to show an accurate frozen precip map

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[Metwannabe]

That FV3 clown map is stupid....

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[Tarheel1]

Everybody high fiving after one FV3 run!! Just 2-3 runs ago it was a cutter and garbage!! :weenie::weenie:

 

[SD]

Everybody high fiving after one FV3 run!! Just 2-3 runs ago it was a cutter and garbage!! :weenie::weenie:

Jason Garrett was a bad coach a few weeks ago

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[Cad Wedge NC]

Everybody high fiving after one FV3 run!! Just 2-3 runs ago it was a cutter and garbage!! :weenie::weenie:

They are happy about the fact that it got on-board with the other guidance.

 

[Jessy89]

Fv3 May of been better. But still not great for many. Wonder what new euro will show

 

[Tarheel1]

Fv3 May of been better. But still not great for many. Wonder what new euro will show

Only 8 hours till we find out!