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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Hr 144 firing up in Texas. Here comes the moment of truth in next few frames.

High pressure still 3mb stronger this run vs old.
 
Low is 4mb lower at 155h, bit of a stronger wedge over NC


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I’m going to say it but honestly the Gfs is Full of ---- because how is that low going to plow into a High that’s over 1030 MB. I might be wrong but I feel that the Gfs is off.
 
As seemingly abysmal as this GFS run is (not to mention the model's often laughable presentation of CAD), wintry precip still breaking out in the NC piedmont w/ a 1034 high in our own backyard; pretty nasty ice storm verbatim. Point being, even areas like upstate SC could be in play with this solution

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_30.png
 
The CAD areas of NC and SC will do well with this, Well if you like major Ice storms.

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The CAD areas of NC and SC will do well with this, Well if you like major Ice storms.

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For now it’s showing just rain for upstate sc. would it be ice in this setup? Guessing it’s underestimating the wedge
 
Honestly with the way Gfs setup the H5 this run places as far south as the Midlands of SC need to PAY CLOSE ATTENTION these next 5 days because it will make all the difference with a stronger high.
 
Finally catching up in all the fun today. I really like what I see with the models. That last Euro run was great, and it is always a big plus to have the Euro on your side. Even the not so great runs of the GFS still show winter weather here, and just seeing some this early in December is a win.
 
GFS is just so wrong. It clearly is the only model that is showing this cutter solution.
 
GFS is just so wrong. It clearly is the only model that is showing this cutter solution.
But the last few days it wasn't showing a cutter, give it time I bet it comes back around to a big time solution


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