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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

SD said:
Happy new year.

Hopefully a sign for the rest of winter
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Lol, fine by me, as long as after that it looks like this...which it does. Cold comes in right after the new years torch.

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It's so beautiful....What does it mean? I don't know, go ask your dad.

Sorry had to.
 

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FV3 and GFS both showing a cold start to 2019. Switching from 70 to cold in a couple of days. That could be a good sign.
 
Will Rossman said:
Depending where you are in the SE anyway
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It’s January 3rd. Our cold is coming as you can see from Webb and others. No point to worry about the next 10 days or so being warm. It was going to be and it’s fine , we are seeing everything line up to the starting lines. No torch and plenty of cold to come with a wet patterns to die for.
 
NoSnowATL said:
It’s January 3rd. Our cold is coming as you can see from Webb and others. No point to worry about the next 10 days or so being warm. It was going to be and it’s fine , we are seeing everything line up to the starting lines. No torch and plenty of cold to come with a wet patterns to die for.
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I know that. :) I was speaking in a more concrete sense. Remember that last New Year was truly chilly. Probably spoiled us, lol. I'm feeling pretty good about mid January though.
 
Will Rossman said:
I know that. :) I was speaking in a more concrete sense. Remember that last New Year was truly chilly. Probably spoiled us, lol. I'm feeling pretty good about mid January though.
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I understand and no disrespect towards your post. I just hope the good signs keep rolling. Hopefully we have a winter were the banter thread isn’t the most popular.
 
Kylo said:
Wow...Op Euro now going split at day 10. Wish we had EPS day 10+.

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I have a confession to make: After being a pretender for a long time, I have no idea how to read this map. I just rely on others to tell me if it's good or not. Does this mean it will probably snow at my house?

Man, it feels good to get that off my chest!
 
Rain Cold said:
I have a confession to make: After being a pretender for a long time, I have no idea how to read this map. I just rely on others to tell me if it's good or not. Does this mean it will probably snow at my house?

Man, it feels good to get that off my chest!
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Confession is good for the soul.


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Rain Cold said:
I have a confession to make: After being a pretender for a long time, I have no idea how to read this map. I just rely on others to tell me if it's good or not. Does this mean it will probably snow at my house?

Man, it feels good to get that off my chest!
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I have a confession as well ....

I have little faith in a split and its downstream impacts for my backyard . We hear the same stuff every winter about splits , while all the hype this winter has excited me I will admit I am a skeptic.

Damn that felt good !!


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Storm5 said:
I have a confession as well ....

I have little faith in a split and its downstream impacts for my backyard . We hear the same stuff every winter about splits , while all the hype this winter has excited me I will admit I am a skeptic.

Damn that felt good !!


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Yeah...it seems like the entire globe expects snow/cold to descend upon them after a SSW.

Edit: Though I should add that I expect this winter strat stuff to actually be a big help to us. Early season SSW with weak/mod nino...
 
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Rain Cold said:
I have a confession to make: After being a pretender for a long time, I have no idea how to read this map. I just rely on others to tell me if it's good or not. Does this mean it will probably snow at my house?

Man, it feels good to get that off my chest!
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I just see lots of blue colors imby and that gets the adrenaline pumping
 
Rain Cold said:
I have a confession to make: After being a pretender for a long time, I have no idea how to read this map. I just rely on others to tell me if it's good or not. Does this mean it will probably snow at my house?

Man, it feels good to get that off my chest!
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No. Don't forget what side of the rain/snow line we live on, LOL.;)
 
I realize this is just an OP run but I’ve been model watching today and I feel the bottom will fall out once this bowling ball of LP (near and south of AK) transverses North America. You can see some beastly high pressures settling in on the other side of the hemisphere as this feature moves out. I think I saw a 1063 a couple frames before this

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Storm5 said:
I have a confession as well ....

I have little faith in a split and its downstream impacts for my backyard . We hear the same stuff every winter about splits , while all the hype this winter has excited me I will admit I am a skeptic.

Damn that felt good !!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
Polar vortex explosions and SSW , never work ! They belong in the drain of JB’s jacuzzi! I new that R-C guy was a hack! He can read maps as good as Brick
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I realize this is just an OP run but I’ve been model watching today and I feel the bottom will fall out once this bowling ball of LP (near and south of AK) transverses North America. You can see some beastly high pressures settling in on the other side of the hemisphere as this feature moves out. I think I saw a 1063 a couple frames before this

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Fake news! That Alaska crap can stay there all winter, and never move
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I have a confession as well: I do not know how to read weather models. 95% of my snow forecasts come from Brick’s “it always snows a week after temperatures are in the 70’s” theory
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Don’t forget the “ thunderstorms in winter” theory!? It’s as good as SSW events, I guess
 
I’m still waiting for the SSW to actually verify per the graph I follow. Hopefully it won’t be a dud and will verify within a couple of days. But so far nada.
 
GaWx said:
I’m still waiting for the SSW to actually verify per the graph I follow. Hopefully it won’t be a dud and will verify within a couple of days. But so far nada.
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GEFS is saying Dec 27-29th period. Euro is a little after that when looking at the zonal wind plots. Only have yesterdays run though, but todays seemed more bullish.

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Kylo said:
GEFS is saying Dec 27-29th period. Euro is a little after that when looking at the zonal wind plots. Only have yesterdays run though, but todays seemed more bullish.

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Thanks. That explains why no significant warming has yet to occur. It is further out in time than I thought.
 
Kylo said:
And then it seems like a lot of the smart people say 2-3 weeks after before effect on the trop. is realized. So we got time it seems.
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Yes that’s about right, that’s why we keep seeing mid January. I’m looking forward to seeing the runs a few days before. I think around 2 week of January we will have a clearer idea on how it’s going to unfold. Hard not to like what we see forecast but then again it’s a LR forecast.
 
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