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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

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Keep in mind this isn’t all snow
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Man, that’s a sharp cutoff, and I’m dancing on the fence!! Hopefully the underestimating thing is go real!!
 
Just think to, 2 cads that produced ice in nc/upstate SC have already bust colder this fall, we even saw ice as far southeast as Salisbury with that last one and it was only forecasted for the mountains to get minor ice accumulation, both of those CAD events ended up colder than forecasted
 
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