NoSnowATL
Member
If someone is punting January then they should be banned until April. That’s just crazy talk in my opinion.
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Stormlover
Member
Yep, they have no business posting on here.
olhausen
Member
Hence why I said most years. Most likely places that saw a big snow last December and this December won’t see one again in December for about 10 or so years. December 2010 gave me 2 different snowfalls of more the 2 inches including one on Christmas Day. Haven’t seen more then a dusting in December going on 8 winters now.
Wouldn't a "torch" pattern in between Christmas and New years support severe wx ? Models been catching on to these cutters that leave much of the SE in the warm sector except for cad areas
NoSnowATL
Member
I wouldn’t say we are torched. We will be in the mid to upper 50s in the most part. Torch is just a catchy word someone people like to use. Looks like the SE will stay fairly close to avg for the most part.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I've had Christmases with temps in the 70s. I wouldn't call temps in the 50s torching.
RollTide18
Member
I’ve only gotten snow in 2 Decembers this decade, now maybe last year spoiled me and I would’ve like snow December but still that doesn’t mean I’m punting the rest of the winter.
After all the rain & cold the first half of the month, it’s really nice outside, not bitterly cold or torchy muggy & warm. Upper 50s/low 60s is the perfect temperature range for a relaxation period before we get back into a more favorable pattern.
If we get into January & February and have historic storms, all this punt and gloom & doom talk will look silly.
After all the rain & cold the first half of the month, it’s really nice outside, not bitterly cold or torchy muggy & warm. Upper 50s/low 60s is the perfect temperature range for a relaxation period before we get back into a more favorable pattern.
If we get into January & February and have historic storms, all this punt and gloom & doom talk will look silly.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
It's silly no matter what the temps are right now. Like I have said before, we have had numerous times with temps in the 70s one week in January and February and end up with snow the next. That's exactly what happened with last week's storm, too.
Kylo
Member
I haven't seen a single post from anyone on this forum punting January, unless it's in jest. Most expect a flip...is it early January, mid-Jan, or in February. Nobody knows, we are just discussing potential options, why?, because some people enjoy discussing weather even if it's not snowy.
As old as it may get to some with people panicking in mid-December it's even more old when people lose their mind if someone happens to post that the MJO will be unfavorable for sustained cold in the E/SE the next 2-3 weeks.
As old as it may get to some with people panicking in mid-December it's even more old when people lose their mind if someone happens to post that the MJO will be unfavorable for sustained cold in the E/SE the next 2-3 weeks.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
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2025 Supporter
Looks like E coast gonna need a little work
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Look at that 1000% dot over Bricks house!? Rain_Cold, how much did you get!! Time to get sloshing!!!
Kylo
Member
EPS really cranks up the snowfall for the midwest week 2. Good to see cold returning to the conus.
Kylo
Member
Grits other post on VP was nice too.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Lol that map is a fraud. Totally got a foot or so of snow here this month
But did you get a short period of ZR? I know Gainesville got 1+ hours of ZR and I bet this counts ZR as snowfall.
NoSnowATL
Member
I know I got 0.0. No ZR either. That map is 100% fake news.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
33 and rain the whole event with just a few pellets of sleet at the end.
Storm5
Member
Gfs getting colder and colder each run for those of you hoping to see a flake Friday
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I see it has the southern extent almost down to Tonyland! It almost looks like an overdone model prediction.
It's crazy the lack of snowcover across the US. Some areas who almost always have a White Christmas will have bare ground this year !
RollTide18
Member
Gfs getting colder and colder each run for those of you hoping to see a flake Friday
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That GFS is the devil
Arjen Robben
Member
Since this GFS is being tossed in 2 weeks should we just disregard it and only look at FV3 ?
That soon?
I think some are taking in what they see on the models way, way too quickly! You always, always have to remember things change all the time, no matter what. It may not be warm Christmas Eve/day after all for some. Matter of fact, it may not even be sunny and 60 for some. Both GFS and Euro show a wedge building in later in the day on Christmas Eve into Christmas day. A 1028 mb/1030-ish high builds in over the NE US. The 18z GFS shows a weak disturbance that may bring precip for some on Christmas Eve into Christmas day. As always, things could moisten up on future runs.
Also note, the GEFS starts off Christmas Eve and day quite chilly. If you factor in the 2m temps from the GEFS, and if there is precip over the CAD areas, it would be frozen precip. Christmas Eve night into early Christmas day. For now, it will be dry and cold for most.
Also note, the GEFS starts off Christmas Eve and day quite chilly. If you factor in the 2m temps from the GEFS, and if there is precip over the CAD areas, it would be frozen precip. Christmas Eve night into early Christmas day. For now, it will be dry and cold for most.
Progression of today's euro weeklies out through Jan 31.
As Kylo and Delta mentioned earlier today Aleutian Low begins developing post D10-D15 time frame, around New Years. +PNA/-EPO look into January with heights near GL.
As Kylo and Delta mentioned earlier today Aleutian Low begins developing post D10-D15 time frame, around New Years. +PNA/-EPO look into January with heights near GL.
whatalife
Moderator
Euro weeklies look ok at first glance...
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cd2play
Member
It's the DAVAULLL!!! LOL
Avalanche
Member
Unlike Van Halen, Im not running with the devil unless it shows snow
Kylo
Member
That was a very good run. The CFS weekly looks similar.
https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/1074815158462091264?s=21
cd2play
Member
I think this winter is going to have fun times. Now remember, there is always the risk you could fall into one of those "snow holes", but overall looks like ample opportunities are in the cards this season
Storm5
Member
I need Larry to “ interrupt this program “ for our weekly euro weeklies update
Larry oh Larry ???
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Larry oh Larry ???
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NoSnowATL
Member
How about living in one! Hopeful for a latter to climb out of it this winter.
Storm5
Member
All in on the FV3 New Year’s Eve east coast snow
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
whatalife
Moderator
Storm5
Member
To each his own , that right there works for me . Enjoy your rain ???If only it were January
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That map is jacked up. The bottom edge is a little off, unless my annual average snowfall is .2”. On second thought, actually, it probably is. Never mind.
whatalife
Moderator
To each his own , that right there works for me . Enjoy your rain
Sounds like someone is in desperation mode if they are hugging a 336 hr FV3 output...
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That map is jacked up. The bottom edge is a little off, unless my annual average snowfall is .2”. On second thought, actually, it probably is. Never mind.
Good post.