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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

These folks are always so conservative, there's resulting cautious Curmudgeon optimism into the Holidays (in addition to some other, more sophisticated long run trends) ... We'll see ... Truly enjoy your snow storm up there, the warm up (hopefully brief) ... and then ???? ... :oops:

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So looking ahead and our warm December is for sure gonna fail to verify


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Looks like it, I just hope it’s just not pushed back to Late January to February. All my hope are on February to deliver. All signs say no real true thaw this year which is great.
 
So looking ahead and our warm December is for sure gonna fail to verify


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AO and PNA would suggest likewise, as would the CPC today; for other reasons time does not permit getting into today, you very well could be spot on, Charlie.

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Um round 2 winter storm chance for NC/VA next Thursday night. Trending colder and that’s a lot of moisture. I think ends up icy given snow on the ground.
 
While many of us are focused on the snow threat this weekend, the models are suggesting another snow threat. fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_fh174-192.gif
 
How does it snow in Atlanta with a low pressure over Cincinnati ?

The ULL tracks extremely close by . Does not matter where the surface low heads as long as the ULL tracks over head . If the ULL does not track overhead you can forget it cause temps would be way too warm . The icon has the best track of course I’m sure it will verify closer to Canada lol
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Gfs, FV3 and Icon all have northern stream interaction while the euro has zero and cuts the b**** off thus much warmer
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Gfs, FV3 and Icon all have northern stream interaction while the euro has zero and cuts the b**** off thus much warmer
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Yeah, but slightly colder Euro and portions of the south get decked.

Interesting trends of what was a sure enough cutter. If we get threats like this weekend and one next weekend, we will croak by March.
 
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