Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

[Jessy89]

The icon should be in range this run.

 

[TheBatman]

Man. Y’all are killing my buzz. I feel like the ghost of PackBacker has hacked into SouthernWx with all this negativity

Don’t worry guys. Everything is being handle by the main admin. With that being said. Please guys refrain personal attacks. We are all here for the same reason. To learn about weather, discuss it, and hopefully get a nice winter storm.
We appreciate you guys this website wouldn’t be where it is without you guys!!!

 

[TheBatman]

Geez, did this Packbacker guy spit on babies and kick puppies. He sounds like the worst person ever born.

Ok guys. Let’s get back to our regularly schedule forum programming...
Thank you

 

[Snowfan]

ICON is digging the energy into Mexico.

 

[Tarheel1]

ICON preparing for glory...

 

[TheBatman]

ICON is digging the energy into Mexico.

Alright let’s see where it goes...

 

[TheBatman]

We have a stronger high over Arkansas this run.
Hr90 1036 high pressure. 5 mb stronger.

This is gfs model

 

[Jessy89]

How’s the north side of the precipitation on icon not frozen. The high is there

 

[TheBatman]

Hour 102 on gfs. Little changes so far.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON looked good.

 

[Tarheel1]

View attachment 7882 ICON preparing for glory...

It went rainy!

 

[Snowfan]

The GFS digs a bit more in this run.

 

[TheBatman]

ICON looked good.

Yes it did. Last frame (hr 180) the low is sitting in Gulf right below New Orleans. That’s a perfect spot for southern snow.

 

[TheBatman]

It went rainy!

I think ya still good. Ya guys shouldn’t be worried about temps. I think cad will help you guys still.

 

[Snownut]

No way this thing cuts this time. If it does the GFS is definitely an outlier. Even the ICON was sitting pretty!

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

I think ya still good. Ya guys shouldn’t be worried about temps. I think cad will help you guys still.

There’s nothing to hold the high in place and the moisture just stops in TN for like a day!?

 

[Snowfan]

CMC has a 1038 high in the Rockies @78 hours.

 

[Tarheel1]

What’s with this rain crap, frontal band on Friday?? That’s new

 

[Webberweather53]

Around 120 hr, our wave near California is a tad faster and the northern stream wave near the lakes is a bit slower.

 

[TheBatman]

There’s nothing to hold the high in place and the moisture just stops in TN for like a day!?

I see what your saying. That is strange. You would think it would move on in..

 

[Storm5]

00z cmc cuts west of the apps

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Tarheel1]

Fresh old front,right before the storm!?

 

[Snowfan]

Tropical Tidbits is a bit slow on the CMC right now. @ 72 hours right now.

 

[WxWatch]

0z GFS is wetter than 18z GFS. Other than that, no significant changes (yet)

 

[Storm5]

Tropical Tidbits is a bit slow on the CMC right now. @ 72 hours right now.

Change it to MSLP and Precip . It’s way ahead and you can see the disastrous run


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[TheBatman]

00z cmc cuts west of the apps

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Dang, that is flat out ugly!! Wish their was a delete button.lol

 

[Tarheel1]

What low are we following? Mexico or CO?

 

[Snowfan]

CMC has trended to the 12z and the 18z GFS.

 

[Snowfan]

View attachment 7885 What low are we following? Mexico or CO?

Mexico.

 

[TheBatman]

Sorry guys. Hr 150 gfs. She is cutting into south Mississippi.

 

[Snownut]

That CMC run is on Crack, the Low is doing some weird stuff

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

 

[Brent]

well it was a fun ride lol

 

[Tarheel1]

GFS is gonna be good!

 

[Jon]

Much faster this time.

Decent cad in place and Precip breaking out over western Carolina and inland to Raleigh at 159hr. Going to be a decent run but would be massive if it was a tad cooler


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[TheBatman]

Hour 156 gfs.. congrats Missouri on your heavy snow.

 

[Snowfan]

GFS continues with the cutter idea.

 

[Webberweather53]

A northern stream wave that was previously over southern Canada on earlier runs dives into the north-central Rockies instead on this GFS run. The GFS however was faster with the southern stream wave this run, the reason it tried to cut this low into the TN Valley is different from earlier runs

 

[Weatherlover92]

Well it's certainly moving a lot faster on the GFS, SLP on 18z was in S/Central TX at 6z Sat, on the 00z run it's on the LA/MS border.

 

[TheBatman]

GFS is gonna be good!

Yea. Hr156 snow for western North Carolina.

 

[Tarheel1]

Boom!