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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

12z GFS ensemble, H5: From this look, cold rain for most. Surface temps. aren't cold enough for snow. However, there could be some frozen precip. acorss the higher elevations of the CAD areas and some areas across TN. There should be some nice looking GEFS members.
86df2b395739b726450b9a5bfc99ee20.jpg
 
12z GFS ensemble, H5: From this look, cold rain for most. Surface temps. aren't cold enough for snow. However, there could be some frozen precip. acorss the higher elevations of the CAD areas and some areas across TN. There should be some nice looking GEFS members.
86df2b395739b726450b9a5bfc99ee20.jpg

Didn't seem like there were any any members that looked good, save one. The rest were cutters, or didn't have a storm at all. GEFS has lost it, I'm not sure why....but from what I understand H5 trended well. Just hasn't latched on the cold. Perhaps the SE canada trough is not strong enough?

Hopefully the EPS saves us.
 
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