packfan98
Moderator
This is a pretty strong signal for Greensboro from the 6z GEFS. Will the 12z be as appealing??? The GFS is rolling now.
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ATLwxfan
Member
What’s gotten into him? The mention of winter weather usually gets him irritated and he promptly dismisses it.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
12Z ICON looked like it was headed for glory at the end of its run.
Oh wow, I was just looking over the 6z GFS, and it has that secondary low again. As I mentioned before, if there is no snowfall with that first system, there would be a better chance at snowfall with that secondary low.
packfan98
Moderator
Excellent! Almost time to start looking at the ICON and especially the UKMET, which I hold in high regard with respect to tracking low pressure placement.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Pretty big changes wrt the northern stream energy this run. Shortwave is also digging a bit deeper in the SW
Cary_Snow95
Member
Energy is seriously digging on the 12z
packfan98
Moderator
Seems to be slowing everything down too. Could be good for the CAD regions if the track of the low will cooperate.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Cary_Snow95
Member
Yeah it's slowing down big time. Interested to see how it kicks this out
Cary_Snow95
Member
06z
12z
12z
The energy is really digging.
Cary_Snow95
Member
The kicker may actually end up catching the first wave at this rate
whatalife
Moderator
06z
12z
This should be fun to see where this goes....
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Kylo
Member
Not sure how this run will end but when the Op GFS differs this much from the EPS you toss.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Most likely gonna cut it appears unless this kicker can catch it
whatalife
Moderator
Major hit for the Carolinas on the CMC...
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My guess is that it is going to cut.
ATLwxfan
Member
Looks no bueno
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This low is cutting.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
When the Euro and CMC get together and dance...that’s all I’m gonna say.
Yeah i’m not so sure about this run
Jessy89
Member
Gfs is way inland
You don’t want this pile of crap digging down into Mexico and hanging out in the SW. it has got to come out and move along with or just behind the northern wave. That’s it.
Looks like the streak of good 12z runs have been broken.
whatalife
Moderator
Amen. CMC+Euro combo is solid. I’m actually not mad the GFS abandoned ship already
Yes, the 12z CMC is more like it to my thinking.
Perfect low placement for a big storm here in nc on that run on the cmc
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Sweet mother of pearl. Euro shows me getting a foot. Canadian says hold my beer I’ll give you 2 feet.
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ATLwxfan
Member
Mmmm warm rain.
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CMC looks better than the GFS.
Jessy89
Member
Gfs is all by itself now I don’t believe that idea of a cutter.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The GFS is actually colder at the surface in the CAD areas this run.
Kylo
Member
Yep, last thing we want to see is the GFS showing a snow event over your backyard at day 8.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
At least the 12z GFS looks like it might not be much of a winter storm for the Mid Atlantic, ended up worse than the last run winter wise period with this one.
But yes having the CMC and Euro is better haha.
But yes having the CMC and Euro is better haha.
GFS looks awful.
Round Oak Weather
Member
We still think the CAD should be stronger? GFS will prolly come back early to mid next week
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
It’s a prejudice of the models, we discuss every year! It’s not just going to sit there and spin, especially in a fast flow. Hug the CMC and icon
Let's see what the FV3 shows.