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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

I'm usually pretty skeptical about marginal situations, especially in December, but the stj, in a Nino, with high pressure to the north pressing down, with Cad, ensembles showing consistent southern storm makes me feel pretty good. I could be crushed though, and I'll never believe in the models again...until the next time. Lol.
 
Jessy89 said:
Does anyone think we have legitimate winter storm for southeast. Or is the gfs pulling us in just to break are hearts?
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I think it will stay as a southern slider with the low. But if this low starts coming inland a lot of people will have a lot of problems with temps being a issue and WAA (warm air aloft). Being that said, we still have 7-8 days out so a lot of things will change. I thinking we will have the southern solution as long as we strong enough high pressure to the north of us.
 
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Storm5 said:
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Looks like the control, the mean, and half the ensembles have at least some snow here.
 
I hope the 00z doesn't break all of our delicate hearts...

On a good note I ended November averageing 39.7F and 55.5F, one of the coolest I can remember. 9 days failed to reach 50F.
 
Brick Tamland said:
Looks like the control, the mean, and half the ensembles have at least some snow here.
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Brick its time you come out of the closet and ditch those putrid baby blue walmart clothes with ole huck roys face on it. Put on some black and gold and watch your alma matter tommorow win the sbc for the 3rd straight year. You come visit some and youll find all the winter wx you want up at 3300 feet.
 
NCSNOW said:
Brick its time you come out of the closet and ditch those putrid baby blue walmart clothes with ole huck roys face on it. Put on some black and gold and watch your alma matter tommorow win the sbc for the 3rd straight year. You come visit some and youll find all the winter wx you want up at 3300 feet.
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I can cheer for both. And I have fond memories of sledding down the hill in front of Justice Hall. But I did not like going to class in minus 0 wind chill.
 
Uggghhh, this run is heading to dumpster fire land! High dropping out of Canada is even weaker, 1028 or something! Failboat incoming!
 
I noticed we are half guest and half board members on here at the moment. You guys can sign up, it’s free and you can also join in on the conversation. It takes about 5 minutes. :)
 
I am little concerned at hour 102. That high is coming in weaker. It needs to be stronger so it can push this wave further south for us. We will know in a few minutes what the outcome is.
 
With the advances in computer simulations, NESIS 3+ are now seen coming over a week out. I am in no way saying this will be a major east coast storm, but the consistency at this very early stage has the hallmark. For those that chase, it's prudent at this juncture to clear the calendar for 12/8 - 12/10, which I did today. Precautionary, if a significant winter storm does in fact materialize for the period. Two 24"+ events is the goal this season, a December verification will put one clearly in the drivers seat.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
It must be nice living in FL and never having to worry about model runs and whether you will get rain or snow.
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What's cool about southern Louisiana is that getting any winter weather, let alone accumulating snow, is pretty uncommon. Which makes tracking potential winter storms all the more exciting.

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WeatherNC said:
With the advances in computer simulations, NESIS 3+ are now seen coming over a week out. I am in no way saying this will be a major east coast storm, but the consistency at this very early stage has the hallmark. For those that chase, it's prudent at this juncture to clear the calendar for 12/8 - 12/10, which I did today. Precautionary, if a significant winter storm does in fact materialize for the period. Two 24"+ events is the goal this season, a December verification will put one clearly in the drivers seat.
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Cool!
 
For the Wednesday system, obviously you want the vortmax to your south by a margin, sharp with some backing off the ATL. Token event, but not much more in the high end.
 
This run to me looks like it's going to set up well for a lot of folks too.

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I think she still going to try. Might not be as good as last run. It definitely a better improvement vs 0z last night.
 
Bsud said:
This run to me looks like it's going to set up well for a lot of folks too.

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The low in Canada looks like it should still press our storm to the south!
 
308C18F5-8C91-45A4-9CED-6A7F0F982E08.png This ain’t gonna work! Ice more N this run!
 
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