Euro ensembles must not be convinced of an overly strong HP
So far it’s GFS vs Euro/CMC/FV3?..ruh roh
So far it’s GFS vs Euro/CMC/FV3?..ruh roh
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e2 please.
Strong CAD situations are the one time models actually trend south.... watch that HP
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Storm5
Member
That's good. In my defense, I was focused on the CAD areas, not just my backyard.
It’s winter you should only be focused on your backyard
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SnowNiner
Member
I don't know, CMC looks ok to me (no matter what the precip map shows) at this range. I'd say it's currently GFS, GEFS, ENS, CMC versus EURO and FV3 at this point.
Kylo
Member
Fairly good model agreement between GEFS/EPS at day 8. Surprisingly good.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Que pasa? Mucho bueno!
Look how aggressive it is in Nebraska. Wow !Eps through day ten is very aggressive for Arkansas , tenn and NC vs previous run
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Storm5
Member
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SnowNiner
Member
What is the ideal high pressure location for the high? I notice the EURO is more in the plains but has more of a CAD signature, while the GEFS looks like it's in the optimal location and has less off a CAD signature?
I've always seen it's best to be in the NE, or in the lakes.
I'll get the bread and milk.
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What happened to my 1040?
I guess it really just depends on how cold you like your rainKylo
Member
That and could potentially be a rough ice storm for the favored areas.
Kylo
Member
That’s what I think too. Lakes extending into NY with a stout Newfoundland low.
Storm5
Member
What happened to my 1040?
I was a dumbass, I was looking at the control . Sigh
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GFS model needs to be turned off.
00z will silence them. That's been the trend.
whatalife
Moderator
Anybody keeping track of how that HP is trending on the Euro/Canadian/FV3 over the past 48 hours?
Kylo
Member
If this doesn’t topple that sucker....
That's a typical Glenn Burns post. No mention on the other models showing anything wintry showing his warm bias.
NoSnowATL
Member
3 Letters WSB
ATLwxfan
Member
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(Rummages through garage looking for sled)
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ATLwxfan
Member
He goes out of his way to be a model contrarian any time there is a hint of winter weather. Then, when snow is imminent he drastically underplays the impact. Rinse and repeat. Scrooge McBurns.
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For my region, we'd prefer the high be located as shown on the EPS mean.
Sorta like the models always underplay CAD.
BNAwx
Member
It’s pretty amazing how a slight difference in the strength and especially the position of the high pressure affects p-types east and west of the apps.
Kylo
Member
This is what we want for a HP. Except with the NF low further south.
Strength wise it's been fairly consistent the main issue is the high is transient so guess what.... thread the needle time (timing is everything)
I really do like this look on the EPS
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Well, I was off work today and did some work around the house, and trying to catch up on how things have gone today. Looks like we could see some snow from the clipper the middle of next week before a possible bigger storm. Things still look positive to me, and I think the storm signal has only gotten stronger today.
Brent
Member
What i would give for eps member 8 to verify lmao:weenie:
:weenie:
NWMSGuy
Member
Looks like E9 on Wxbell which I will take. :weenie:What i would give for eps member 8 to verify lmao
SnowNiner
Member
Yeah, all we need is January 88! lol. And a 1040 to boot. Let's do it, why not? Makes me question the difference between an "overrunning event" (88) and solid CAD storm.
NWMSGuy
Member
Good luck everyone on the 18Z! Hope it goes HAM on winter weather for all of us. :weenie:
:weenie:
Watch 18z Gfs have a cutter with temps in 60 and 70s. That would be really funny tbh.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Yesterday he said it would correct N a crush MA and NE!? He’s sloshing back and forth, hard!
SnowNiner
Member
Good luck everyone on the 18Z! Hope it goes HAM on winter weather for all of us.
Does it follow the pattern of 12Z/18Z greatness and 0Z/6Z fail? Or does it just fail? Answer is, it doesn't matter what the GFS op thinks! Check the ensembles you jabronis! Sorry, the rock kinda worked himself in to that.