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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

I'm not quite sure how to feel yet, at H5 it looks sorta similar to the first run that we saw cut yesterday, but faster. Northern stream was also faster before the wave.
 
On the surface map the low jumps from the northern part of Texas to Louisiana...haha what. So I think this is an Apps Runner and not a GLC like late night yesterday.

Edit: nvm, it goes back up to Arkansas.
 
Yea going to have to have a stronger high pressure up north of us.
Congrats Chicago. They will do fine this run..
I guess we will have to wait to Monday or Tuesday when we flip back cold to see what’s going to happen. But definitely fun to watch.
 
Well parts of western NC may see something if the GFS verifies.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_34.png
 
I think it's about time in the twisting and turning to see a run where we lose the storm...bet that's next with the next new data run.
 
At this point I'm resigned to the likelihood that I will just see a cold rain for this event. Early winter storms for any part of the south are still fun to track though. I'm really excited for y'all in the upper south. Winter weather may come soon to the upper South. And it's only early December at that point!
 
Still gives the same W NC areas that have already had two mini ice storms, one more! That high is trying to build over the storm and banana in..,
 
For a couple days straight now, the 12z GFS and 18z GFS will show the goods, then the 00z and 06z brings the storm back North.
Then it repeats itself again.
 
It’s just weird in how the low pressure moving. Maybe I not seeing something right. Oh well on to the next run!! We will see what New Gfs has to say here in a few.
 
DarkKnight said:
It’s just weird in how the low pressure moving. Maybe I not seeing something right. Oh well on to the next run!! We will see what New Gfs has to say here in a few.
Click to expand...
It can’t make up its mind if it wants to cut or not. Weak HP in the middle of the country screams cutter through. Hopefully we don’t trend away from a strong High pressure
 
It looks like a fairly sizeable system, and one that packs a little punch. If that low cuts west, could we be in a severe weather threat?
 
DarkKnight said:
It’s just weird in how the low pressure moving. Maybe I not seeing something right. Oh well on to the next run!! We will see what New Gfs has to say here in a few.
Click to expand...
I thought that was strange as well. I just don't see why the low will cut, or track north of the Gulf coast with a strong arctic high to the north. It seemed like the low wanted to track south there for a moment at hr 210. I think the 0z GFS "goofed" out.
 
WxWatch said:
I thought that was strange as well. I just don't see why the low will cut, or track north of the Gulf coast with a strong arctic high to the north. It seemed like the low wanted to track south there for a moment at hr 210. I think the 0z GFS "goofed" out.
Click to expand...
Well one thing that doesn’t help. It’s hour 210!! Lol. I start believing come about mondays 0z runs.
 
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