SnowNiner
Member
Yep, and I got a winter storm in each one. As long as the weeklies don't look like that come January, I wont complain.
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Yep, and I got a winter storm in each one. As long as the weeklies don't look like that come January, I wont complain.
D10 ensembles look like this and folks are fretting. I'm confused.
You and me both. Its been a cold November and Ive already seen snow which is already more than some winters.
Because D10 progs are so much less accurate than D16+ progs!D10 ensembles look like this and folks are fretting. I'm confused.
I mean my goodness, that's just a few adjustments away from being pure gold and with lots of cold on our side of the pole....in early December!
No kidding. Folks are looking at the weeklies and day 16 18Z GFS and lamenting the winter going to pot and not paying attention to wintry looking op runs and ensembles within day 10. LOLZ
All of our best storms need a FEW adjustments! I’m all in!
Kylo
Member
Well Xmas week has +EPO/+AO/+NAO. First week of Jan has a GOA ridge and SER. That’s fairly ugly. It’s the weeklies so it will probably be wrong but let’s see how it ends up.
I see higher heights anomoly wise on the east coast, but the country is still doninated by a broad trough centered in the Midwest. Even with the smoothing you can still see a west coast ridge. To be honest, that looks seasonal at worst.
Kylo
Member
This is what EPS had 3 days ago for 5 day period ending Dec 8th.
Today’s 12z run has this. So yeah, EPS is struggling big time with the pac. Still 7 days away but GEFS had a better handle.
Today’s 12z run has this. So yeah, EPS is struggling big time with the pac. Still 7 days away but GEFS had a better handle.
The 18z GEFS is the coldest overall yet.
Hmm, Ill take my chances with this look.
The 0z GEFS isnt as cold as 18z, but would be very ripe for overrunning events with that split flow. Really liking the idea that the western ridge is looking to stay as we go on.
It’s baaaaaaaaack!
The 6z GEFS is cold and it stays cold well into voodoo land. Western ridge signal is there until the very end of the run. Trough looks favorable for a stormy pattern. Probably a lot of borderline events because it doesn't scream bone crushing cold, which is a good thing. The SE will score if we hold this pattern into late December/Early Jan with good snow pack to the NW.
I like the 8th-10th time frame for someone on here to get an early Christmas gift.... 6z GEFS didn't look bad at all
Heat chasing moisture
GFS vf3, somewhat agrees! Just need a cold source!
packfan98
Moderator
Let's brighten the mood a bit: INCOMING on the 12z GFS!!!!!
