Snowflowxxl
Member
I feel like it’s above 70 more often than it is below freezing now a days.
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SnowNiner
Member
A nice consolation prize for not having an -NAO winter would be a -EPO/+PNA winter with an active split flow. I'll take that too!
Absolutely. 70 degree days are more common than snow in December here. We have reached 70 degrees at least once in every December since 2006 or so, we even hit 81 degrees in 2007!
ATLwxfan
Member
Pattern is active. Snow pack building to the northwest. Stars starting to align. Let’s see if that L in SCal at HR210 on 06z GFS will come back. I mean it’s a long way off.
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I'll put a thousand times more trust in that getting the job don't over a -NAO.
Miller A storm on the 12z GFS 216hrs.
Was it? Just because some forecasters don't know how to take into account the warm nose doesn't mean the storm was a bust!
packfan98
Moderator
That one pushed some of the southern Wake County folks over the cliff. Move the mix line down one row of counties and it would have lined up well with the forecasts. Never underestimate the warm nose!Was it? Just because some forecasters don't know how to take into account the warm nose doesn't mean the storm was a bust!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
For GA it was. The gradient was disgusting and as I remember it, the gradient was supposed to be much further SE.Was it? Just because some forecasters don't know how to take into account the warm nose doesn't mean the storm was a bust!
Was it? Just because some forecasters don't know how to take into account the warm nose doesn't mean the storm was a bust!
So frustrating, that storm.
snowlover91
Member
GFS is indicating some very nice snow-pack building to our north and west over the next 10 days. This is a great sign and I'm looking for mid to late December for a legit threat to pop up once this is well established.
GFS is indicating some very nice snow-pack building to our north and west over the next 10 days. This is a great sign and I'm looking for mid to late December for a legit threat to pop up once this is well established.
Hopefully we will have something to track now. And it’s within 9 days.
It’s going to be hard to get cold air in a favorable position with all of these cutters. Maybe we can slow that trailing piece of energy down a bit and get it to “dig” a little more? Looks like a rainer as of now. Especially for folks east
Ilovesnow28
Member
Curious to see if the gfs starts seeing something for us snow lovers around hours 216-234
Cold chasing moisture = typical SE winter!
snowlover91
Member
That system is worth keeping an eye on but I think the main thing we are gaining from this current pattern is snow building across the Northern US. While that keeps us on the warm/rainy side of things due to the cutters it is also laying nice snow cover and setting the stage for something interesting later in the month.
Round Oak Weather
Member
Sounds about right 70 degrees then a few days later it snows
snowlover91
Member
No snow for anyone in the SE US unfortunately. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018112612/usa/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20181205-1200z.html
Euro is cold , most models agree on a pretty big cold shot next week
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