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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

Jon said:
++NAO through much of December. Ouch

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Yeah that looks ugly. However, with its strong warm bias (including November outlooks) and extreme unreliability, I'm not buying it even though it could be right because nobody knows. Maybe part of that warm bias is a +NAO bias?
 
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It’s still raining in Chi Town!!! Are they S of 85!??:D:D
 
Like someone said, you can find a model today (11/25) that says whatever is or is not wanted ... :p

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Models still different from run to run. The GFS mean snowfall map looks great, though. I think the models are trying to show there are chances coming down the road, but can't get the specifics locked down. Like I said, they can go back and forth a lot in the long range, show a storm 10 days out, and then it goes away until inside 5 days and pops up again on the models.
 
Arcc said:
The Euro isn't bad at all at the end of the run.
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Not at all. Cold continent wide air mass incoming days 8-10. Does not mean a storm but good to see operationals starting to show legitimately cold air masses
 
:(
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
12z FV3 is STUPID cold out in the LR
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Good to see the more things change, the more they stay the same! But as some say, we are not in the end of January, looking for the false hope, like the GFSv3 is now throwing out there! But we easily could be!:(
 
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