GSP did keep mention of east of the mountains wintry precip in the discussion
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Wintry December 4-7 Winter Precip Chance
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
I’m interested in that ULL
Would probably be a RN/SN mix for much of the areas in the 30s with Precip falling near the cold core, but 850s are not overly impressive 
Ok ok I know I know, this falls on the list haha buuuuuut, dare I say it? The ICON is usually terrible with BL temps, usually too warm
Based off that look if rates could overcome that would be close to a surprise around your neck of the woods and yeah sometimes icon has that problem
What a disaster.
The ICON was another "close" setup.
GFS had more precip, but not enough cold air. SMH
Edit: This has so many moving pieces, maybe this is part one?
Edit: This has so many moving pieces, maybe this is part one?
Can't ask for a much better track
Major shift on the GFS from positive to neutral!
This is a great look!
Too warm though.
Too warm though.
Precip dies before temps crash
Anyone smarter than me know how we can cool this setup down ? Stronger UL trough for a colder pocket aloft ?
Shaggy
Member
So far the precip is looking much more widespread on the GFS.
12z
12z
I guess one more trend the right way could do it 
I do think that one major difference between this event and January 2018 was the cold air. That storm had absolutely no issues with cold air and just needed the precip. This one does, and requires changes with both.