• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry December 28-29th Possible Winter Storm

UKMET has a low that forms and up the coast (bad in between frames, hard to see what's going on). That could be a positive sign of what the Euro will show. No precip maps yet.

Could also be a late bloomer except for Eastern sections, sorta like it did at 12z.
 
Cad is so hard to work with. Move the high just a bit, juice it, and it's maga cad, or it just ices down Augusta again, or maybe Athens. Other times it's into Ala. Hard to say until the high declares. I wouldn't want your job, lol, while we seem to be seeing lots of extremes.
 
Shawn said:
UKMET has a low that forms and up the coast (bad in between frames, hard to see what's going on). That could be a positive sign of what the Euro will show. No precip maps yet.

Could also be a late bloomer except for Eastern sections, sorta like it did at 12z.
Click to expand...
Sounds actually better than 12z run for sure
 
deltadog03 said:
Sounds actually better than 12z run for sure
Click to expand...

Yeah, I should have noted it's more of an up the coast, ots type look, not a coastal hugger. Maybe a slightly better separation, but I noticed, the lower QPF on the Canadian, although from quickly reviewing our wave, it kept separation sorta like 12z. Odd.
 
dsaur said:
Cad is so hard to work with. Move the high just a bit, juice it, and it's maga cad, or it just ices down Augusta again, or maybe Athens. Other times it's into Ala. Hard to say until the high declares. I wouldn't want your job, lol, while we seem to be seeing lots of extremes.
Click to expand...
I might not be on TV anymore, but always will love the challenges of weather. The wedge is a fickle creature your right.
 
Shawn said:
Yeah, I should have noted it's more of an up the coast, ots type look, not a coastal hugger. Maybe a slightly better separation, but I noticed, the lower QPF on the Canadian, although from quickly reviewing our wave, it kept separation sorta like 12z. Odd.
Click to expand...
That's what we need for sure. Coastal hugger is good but as long as we don't get a super late bloomer we should be ok
 
Yeah, UKMET is worse QPF wise:

worse.png
 
So with the GEFS, GFS, CMC, German, and UKMET tonight; We could very well see the Euro flake out with our QPF too. UKMET is sometimes, a good indicator.
 
Literally took a two hour nap just to wake up to all this bad news, I feel like I’m on a game-show called “ a thousand ways to lose” can’t get anything to verify in this town. And when the cold looks locked can always count on the wedge, the system trends to suppression most of the time it’s the other way around. The luck is unreal.
 
I'd wait until 12z Tuesday before calling anything but frankly, if my chance is freezing rain I'll be fine if this is a miss or just a light glaze.

As been said though it's more likely this trends weaker than anything else...
 
Yeah, this Euro run isn't looking too good, even vs 12z so far, with our wave.
 
Sorry guys, it's ugly. Lets see if there's any precipitation inland at all, this run.
 
well folks....the doc is coming in and he is saying NO looks like a swing and a miss.
 
And guys; it isn't a fact of "losing the storm to bring it back". It's a case of a sheared out, weak, dead wave. The Northern Stream dominates, along with other factors Webber spoke of.
 
with that folks.good night and Merry Christmas...NOT good trends tonight...that stream gets sheared out big time. Obviously it could change but this has always been possible.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top