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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

ForsythSnow said:
That's what i was thinking. I mentioned this yesterday talking about a long shot of break off pockets of a column capable of supporting snow and It looks like it very well may happen.
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Those cold pockets on the NAM might be on to something. Would be a nice surprise for sure if it was more snow!
 
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That moisture coming has to be snow. These ULL bring their own cold. I imagine a lot of it is snow. But who knows.
 
SD said:
Nam is all snow here through 15z sunday. Probably a good 3-7 inch event for the area.

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I think I could end up with 5 to 8 of snow and some freezing rain/sleet on top.
 
If I drew this line, guess who lives like 3 miles SE of it...... Lol I need one more little shift east. Ok I'll stop with the mby stuff... let's keep the trends going. Looking like a major storm for a lot of good people on here, gonna be a fun few days.



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ForsythSnow said:
That's what i was thinking. I mentioned this yesterday talking about a long shot of break off pockets of a column capable of supporting snow and It looks like it very well may happen.
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And the trends are encouraging .let's keep that going. Lol
 
deltadog03 said:
Ok NAM....been trending better and better with this ULL......now closes a weak 850 low over SGA .2m temps are like 33-35 I would argue that might be enough for snow. Trends are interesting for that one .
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Same thing I am saying
 
deltadog03 said:
Ok NAM....been trending better and better with this ULL......now closes a weak 850 low over SGA .2m temps are like 33-35 I would argue that might be enough for snow. Trends are interesting for that one .
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Yeah it seems like it would be more snow than modeled but we’ll have to wait and see.
 
12z NAM soundings for CHA supports snow from 9z to 18z tomorrow, barely. Granted it would be a sloppy, wet, melting snow in the valleys but given it's early December, I'll take it, and I'll buy it. Elevations above 1800' and especially the Cumberland Plateau may be in for a quite the surprise as around 1/2" of modeled precip falls during that timeframe.

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LovingGulfLows said:
Not as much moisture associated with the trailing energy as I thought there would be. Very convective in nature it seems.
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I wouldn’t expect much more than that . Plus temps are gonna be blazing in the mid to upper 30s . I think there is a lot of false hope being put into the trailing energy and that miraculously temps will be 5-6 degrees colder .


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If models are off with temp profiles across NGA, there may be more ice than what they are showing now. Some areas are right on the edge.
 
metwannabe said:
If I drew this line, guess who lives like 3 miles SE of it...... Lol I need one more little shift east. Ok I'll stop with the mby stuff... let's keep the trends going. Looking like a major storm for a lot of good people on here, gonna be a fun few days.




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Allan also said it looks like less freezing rain and more snow/sleet.
 
Storm5 said:
I wouldn’t expect much more than that . Plus temps are gonna be blazing in the mid to upper 30s . I think there is a lot of false hope being put into the trailing energy and that miraculously temps will be 5-6 degrees colder .


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It has snowed with temps in the mid to upper 30s before, not like you need it to be freezing. Not really false hope as much as it is past history.
 
deltadog03 said:
I'm just saying keep watching the trends .It's not like we are going to see a whole lot of moisture with it, but hey...it's something
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I hear you...those temps aren’t going to work without better precip rates though.


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Storm5 said:
I wouldn’t expect much more than that . Plus temps are gonna be blazing in the mid to upper 30s . I think there is a lot of false hope being put into the trailing energy and that miraculously temps will be 5-6 degrees colder .


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Exactly. It’s simply too warm and there is no source for colder air. Stick a fork in it.


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RollTide18 said:
It has snowed with temps in the mid to upper 30s before, not like you need it to be freezing. Not really false hope as much as it is past history.
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I’ve seen snow at 41 degrees , you missed my point . The point is the moisture is gonna be scattered in nature and temps are very warm.

I think expectations are unrealistic because we are jealous of the Carolinas

I guess IF we see anything falls we should count it as a win


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metwannabe said:
If I drew this line, guess who lives like 3 miles SE of it...... Lol I need one more little shift east. Ok I'll stop with the mby stuff... let's keep the trends going. Looking like a major storm for a lot of good people on here, gonna be a fun few days.



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Being up near the VA border you get more snow than the rest of us.


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850s are slowly moving more south nut not eastward....question is does the WAA continue to decrease with future model trends and the does the low track farther offshore
 
Storm5 said:
I’ve seen snow at 41 degrees , you missed my point . The point is the moisture is gonna be scattered in nature and temps are very warm.

I think expectations are unrealistic because we are jealous of the Carolinas

I guess IF we see anything falls we should count it as a win


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agreed.....a flurry or convective snow/rain shower or 2 will be a super win....I will tell you that the low levels have a little better chance because that flow is coming off the Carolinas and fresh snow pack.
 
I have a feeling Frosty isn’t going to be happy when he wakes up in Mount Airy, NC!
 
Storm5 said:
I’ve seen snow at 41 degrees , you missed my point . The point is the moisture is gonna be scattered in nature and temps are very warm.

I think expectations are unrealistic because we are jealous of the Carolinas

I guess IF we see anything falls we should count it as a win


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Exactly and we should try our best to be realistic here. Again there will be other opportunities. Atlanta should be grateful to avoid ZR this time as well!


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