Fountainguy97
Member
Nam so far a bit faster and colder.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
RVD
Meteorology Student
Out to 27, the 12z NAM is definitely colder at 850mb:
Fountainguy97
Member
Look at the error in timing on the nam from 81hrs now to 27.
Fountainguy97
Member
well this is an improvement
Fountainguy97
Member
Wow big improvement. This is basically identical to the fv3 
No snow for you
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 577
- Reaction score
- 871
welcome to the party NAM. glad to have you.
Great seeing it come south like the globals.
Great seeing it come south like the globals.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Jimmy, don’t look at the new NAM!!
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Somebody quick with the NAM clowns map
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Wow this looks really close to being snow further down the line by a mere degree or two. One more step down and it very well could be a great 18Z run.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
How close for us
Jessy89
Member
Nam still to far north I think
I'm officialy excited
nam looks pretty darn close to the fv3 and euro. what a good consensus 36hrs out.
snowlover91
Member
New NAM is coming in better agreement with other modeling, shifting the 5H and 850 energy to the south. Should be a little bit colder this run and snowier.
W
WeatherLC
Guest
Ready for lights out?
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Wow, if the FV3 got this right, the totals are going to be huge. It has been very consistent.
whatalife
Moderator
WOW at the 12z nam 
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
FamouslyHot
Member
I think this counts as a win for the fv3. It picked up on this storm at hour 384. Although the set up is slightly different with a 1045 high over the Great Lakes. If only...
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Except for that slight nose at around 700 mb, which unfortunately warms a bit, practically riding the line.
snowlover91
Member
Alright guys... I think the FV3 is going to rival the Euro in regards to accuracy and track. It's been rock steady for awhile now with this storm like the Euro with only small shifts and now the 12km NAM looks remarkably similar to what the Euro/FV3 are showing.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Wow too bad it didn't stay all the way down. If it showed this more than once then I'm all eyes on it the rest of the winter. Maybe we are calling it bad when it's really a great model. Maybe this is the model we've all been waiting for.
Storm5
Member
Can we please stay on topic . We can discuss model performance later
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
FamouslyHot
Member
NAM clown map. Don’t know where you guys get the separate maps for ZR otherwise I’d post that.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
@Tarheel1 if you can smell the rain, it’s raining!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Pivotalweather.com
Here's the kuchera that's creeping it's way south and west. Pretty much a 1 county leap in each direction.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Nerds! Lol
ATLwxfan
Member
NAM weaker on the backend at Hr 60
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
snowlover91
Member
Here is the 12z NAM
Here is the 6z FV3 for close to the same timeframe, very good agreement now.
Here is the 6z FV3 for close to the same timeframe, very good agreement now.
drfranklin
Member
- Joined
- Dec 1, 2016
- Messages
- 489
- Reaction score
- 709
mod sleet here and 42
Storm5
Member
Wow that’s a lot of freezing rain . Holy crap
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Chris J - “ it wiggled”
I’m expecting 1” of wet slop but you can’t help but wonder about the bust potential for this storm for areas further south. Certainly moving in that direction with mesoscale models. I mean right now I’m at 40 with full cloud cover..
Nam is all snow here through 15z sunday. Probably a good 3-7 inch event for the area.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Wish we could change that to a snow/sleet mix instead. Crazy how northeastern Forsyth is getting hammered with ZR and the southwestern part of the county is just a light glaze.Pivotalweather.com
Here it comes
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Wouldn't this be super close to snow?
I would argue it's possible. And if we can cool a bit more, boom
Ice even Into the Midlands of SC where forecaster not even talking about ice.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
That's what i was thinking. I mentioned this yesterday talking about a long shot of break off pockets of a column capable of supporting snow and It looks like it very well may happen.