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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Cause it happens everytime. Literally the only time it didn't happen last year was with the Jan 3rd event, which of course didnt cause that would of slammed everyone in the Carolina's. Everyone swore it was about to be a 2000 Carolina Crusher. Nope, got some flurries here in the Midlands.
 
Not enthused. Think we see sleet/snow but to difficult to imagine it not being washed away fairly quickly.
Yep. If we were building dew points in the single digits into the area and had wet bulbs in the low 20s I would get much more excited. As it stands right now starting off with wet bulbs around 30 and marginal temps even in the 875-950 layer I know everything eventually becomes 33 and rain.

The only thing that's giving me a glimmer that this could turn out better is the 18z nam at 84 hours and how its already building in a stout wedge

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Yep. If we were building dew points in the single digits into the area and had wet bulbs in the low 20s I would get much more excited. As it stands right now starting off with wet bulbs around 30 and marginal temps even in the 875-950 layer I know everything eventually becomes 33 and rain.

The only thing that's giving me a glimmer that this could turn out better is the 18z nam at 84 hours and how its already building in a stout wedge

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Agree, I guess we can argue the globals wont handle temps well but our track record with borderline temps speaks for itself.
 
Great observation.

If you get your kicks out of seeing snow fall and then having none to go out in and enjoy then you will love this one

Yep, if I do see snow falling like the models show for the first storm here this winter during the first week of December, I will be ecstatic.
 
Dang the FV3 is a good bit in the gulf instead of right offshore at 96. It's L track is pretty weird though, lol.
 
Fv3 plasters my area, over a foot and a half, and snow the whole time
 
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