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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

fv3p_z500_vort_us_22.png
 
Upstate got wrecked on that run of the FV3. I’m not so sure I want any part of that
 
The FV3 will make u take a step back and wonder if the other models will show the same thing. We do have to think the other day the Euro was almost identical some of the the gefs and eps members have shown something like that so is it really that alone
 
fv3 has trended weaker with the s/w as well every run. The fact that the Euro ans Ukie do not show any of this for parts of Georgia, Alabama, and southern Tennessee should really tell you all you need to know about that solution
 
Jessy89 said:
If it’s mostly snow I say bring it on
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North of 85 should be sitting pretty. I feel like the sleet/snow transition line would be a little further south of 85 if the storm were to happen today. After today’s model guidance I would say I’d be riding that transition line with a raging sleet storm with the rain/sleet line well to my south towards Greenwood/Newberry. Just my take. I’ve been burned before
 
This is from gsp, real news, I've never seen them so bullish this early
 

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
North of 85 should be sitting pretty. I feel like the sleet/snow transition line would be a little further south of 85 if the storm were to happen today. After today’s model guidance I would say I’d be riding that transition line with a raging sleet storm with the rain/sleet line well to my south towards Greenwood/Newberry. Just my take. I’ve been burned before
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Yeah I live in Pickens County. Close to airport. So hoping for the best either it snows here or Sunday I’ll take my little boys to play in the snow in Hendersonville. But if we can get a few inches I won’t have to leave the house
 
On the "other" board they are saying this is not the correct picture, real one says much much different, 1" in GSP. I don't live down there so I don't know
 
I see you FV3 lol. Here pivotal's ice accumulations.
Soundings have wintry mix sleet/zr Sunday afternoon/evening then transition to snow Monday.fv3 ice.png fv3-gfs_18_096_46804500_skewt_weathernerds.png fv3-gfs_18_102_46804500_skewt_weathernerds.png
 
MichaelJ said:
On the "other" board they are saying this is not the correct picture, real one says much much different, 1" in GSP. I don't live down there so I don't know
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In regards to the FV3 on weather nerds.. for some reason even down here it starts as snow, goes over the mix, then to sleet, then back to mix, and then goes back to snow to end.

I'm not quite sure what's going on with these snowfall maps etc.. but the soundings really do support at least a mixed bag down here.. which in theory would be much much bigger North of here into the Upstate and NC.

Does anyone have a source for soundings on the FV3 other than Weathernerds?
 
This one goes out to the 11th, the one gsp has goes out to the 9 if I'm not mistaken, I don't know how they acessed that though
 
Jessy89 said:
Yeah I live in Pickens County. Close to airport. So hoping for the best either it snows here or Sunday I’ll take my little boys to play in the snow in Hendersonville. But if we can get a few inches I won’t have to leave the house
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Im already planning on driving the family up to TR and eating/drinking a couple beers at Willy Taco on the way. It’s a short trip to witness the goods
 
Shawn said:
In regards to the FV3 on weather nerds.. for some reason even down here it starts as snow, goes over the mix, then to sleet, then back to mix, and then goes back to snow to end.

Does anyone have a source for soundings on the FV3 other than Weathernerds?
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College dupage does https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
 
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