Really this thread was probably posted to early
I hope they fix the FV3 stuff when it is the thing as an American model.
The mean has been holding steady or increasing w/ every run... Now up to
nearly 10" in Charlotte, gotta account for melting, rain, and/or sleet but I'll take it in any case.
Issue with Pivotal is it shows the 0Z and 12Z FV3 only.It's the way they are generating the maps at Tidbits. Other sources show the actual correct amounts of zr/ip/sn.. such as pivotal.
Maybe it's just a ball. It'll come south again if that's so. Otherwise it's going to space and never coming back.Thats what I thought, there was 3-4 big members that accounted for the big increase in the MA but down in our area it looks to be getting somewhat consistent.
The FV just looks like it's bouncing around, expected.
View attachment 8153
Yuck
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Yeah in the CAD areas it’s still noise for now, the GEFS suite would probably suggest a few inches of sleet and snow here in Charlotte and probably a glaze on top to boot, solid storm for early Dec being depicted here for the moment just a question how the details vary going forward.Thats what I thought, there was 3-4 big members that accounted for the big increase in the MA but down in our area it looks to be getting somewhat consistent.
The FV just looks like it's bouncing around, expected.
View attachment 8153
FV3 is overall warmer and north. Not to go overboard, but watch this trend into a cutter.
Looks like some thunderstorms on the southern end of the system too. Might be severe along the Gulf coast.
I’m not far away from the 10-12 mean! That’s insanity, and best mean of all 3 runs of GFS , so far today! And the ops looking worse and worse