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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

We still have rest of this month, January/February/March to track. It's early in December if we don't do good with this storm than the next should be better. NC friends consider this a Christmas bonus.
 
Worst snowfall output maps ever. This is worse than the DGEX, tbh. A lot of mixed crap outside the mountains.. and SC .. I guess sleet and 50F is over a foot of snow ... ..... .....

fv3p_asnow_us_30.png
 
I hope they fix the FV3 stuff when it is the thing as an American model.

It's the way they are generating the maps at Tidbits. Other sources show the actual correct amounts of zr/ip/sn.. such as pivotal.
 
The mean has been holding steady or increasing w/ every run... Now up to
nearly 10" in Charlotte, gotta account for melting, rain, and/or sleet but I'll take it in any case.

Thats what I thought, there was 3-4 big members that accounted for the big increase in the MA but down in our area it looks to be getting somewhat consistent.

The FV just looks like it's bouncing around, expected.
fv3p_asnow_us_fh186_trend.gif
 
And still lots of time to go. We won't know exactly what will happen until we are 24 hours out, and sometimes that is wrong. Anyone who sees snow falling this early in December should be thrilled.
 
It's the way they are generating the maps at Tidbits. Other sources show the actual correct amounts of zr/ip/sn.. such as pivotal.
Issue with Pivotal is it shows the 0Z and 12Z FV3 only.
Thats what I thought, there was 3-4 big members that accounted for the big increase in the MA but down in our area it looks to be getting somewhat consistent.

The FV just looks like it's bouncing around, expected.
View attachment 8153
Maybe it's just a ball. It'll come south again if that's so. Otherwise it's going to space and never coming back.
 
Yuck
3d377573cf8190fbbe7f35a7d7e69984.png



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Yo webber this looks like one of those I-85 north events where I could literally drive from heavy snow in Salisbury to a sleetfest in concord lmao, not saying that will happen but is starting to look very possible
 
Thats what I thought, there was 3-4 big members that accounted for the big increase in the MA but down in our area it looks to be getting somewhat consistent.

The FV just looks like it's bouncing around, expected.
View attachment 8153
Yeah in the CAD areas it’s still noise for now, the GEFS suite would probably suggest a few inches of sleet and snow here in Charlotte and probably a glaze on top to boot, solid storm for early Dec being depicted here for the moment just a question how the details vary going forward.
 
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