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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

BirdManDoomW said:
Going to go ahead and say it. Storm of the century totals will be rivalved and smashed for many locations in WNC. This one will be the new benchmark of all time esp west of i77.
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yikes! I still think people need to temper their expectations this far out. This is the south and no matter how good the models look things can and do go wrong with winter weather. I’m not saying this won’t be a big winter storm but I see a lot of posters acting as if this is set in stone already.
 
olhausen said:
yikes! I still think people need to temper their expectations this far out. This is the south and no matter how good the models look things can and do go wrong with winter weather. I’m not saying this won’t be a big winter storm but I see a lot of posters acting as if this is set in stone already.
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The NC mtns are only south in latitude. They have a climate more similar to New England.
 
Also the models should start coming together a little better starting 24 hours from now once our wave gets sampled.
 
Gonna come out of my one day break to say this if the ULL continues to come better in the back half of the storm I think another March 2009 is not out of the books for parts of Georgia.
 
That wasn’t excitement. That’s a warning. Prepare now for 1-2 week survival in the MTNS and Foothills. A large area of 2-3 feet of snow could mean air supply drops for Boone, Sparta and West Jefferson. The consistency in the EURO is dangerous at this stage and range.
 
Round Oak Weather- Zeb said:
Gonna come out of my one day break to say this if the ULL continues to come better in the back half of the storm I think another March 2009 is not out of the books for parts of Georgia.
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Was a good one for Alabama as well, that ULL moved SE & then NE through Georgia I believe

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Snowflowxxl said:
Its obviously not gonna be snow for ATL area. I could see a scenario if everything lines up correctly where we get alot of ice or sleet and then transition to snow in the last bit.
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I've gone from unconcerned to cautiously optimistic the past couple of days. I could see this being a February 11-13, 2014 repeat here. So basically a sleetfest with a little bit of ice and possibly backend snow if the ULL works out for us. I'll call that success if somehow it happens. It's pretty funny how very close the 12z EURO was to showing an icy mess here when you look at 850/925mb temps, 2m temps, etc. If the 00z EURO comes in a degree or two colder in those thermal profiles we might be in trouble.
 
NWMSGuy said:
Since I’m not sure, how could this help us?
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Lower the dew point the better. When precip comes in it will lower the temp down to the dew point reading. So if you have a dew point of 28 degrees. And let’s say it starts rain/snow at temp of 34 degrees. The precip would push down the temp to your dewpoint of 28 degrees which would change you all over to snow of snow/sleet depending of the condition on the upper atmosphere.
 
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DarkKnight said:
Lower the dew point the better. When precip comes in it will lower the temp down to the dew point reading. So if you have a dew point of 28 degrees. And let’s say it starts rain/snow at temp of 34 degrees. The precip would push down the temp to your dewpoint of 28 degrees which would change you all over to snow of snow/sleet depending of the condition on the upper atmosphere.
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Also we are getting a fresh push from the north of could air as you can see in these 4 frames. Which helps out north miss, ala and ga... hopes this helps... also this would be a awesome storm for Arkansas area also.
 
olhausen said:
yikes! I still think people need to temper their expectations this far out. This is the south and no matter how good the models look things can and do go wrong with winter weather. I’m not saying this won’t be a big winter storm but I see a lot of posters acting as if this is set in stone already.
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I agree...Way too much time for things to change drastically...Models are shifting every run now, and we"re still several days out
 
DarkKnight said:
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Also we are getting a fresh push from the north of could air as you can see in these 4 frames. Which helps out north miss, ala and ga... hopes this helps... also this would be a awesome storm for Arkansas area also.
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DarkKnight said:
Lower the dew point the better. When precip comes in it will lower the temp down to the dew point reading. So if you have a dew point of 28 degrees. And let’s say it starts rain/snow at temp of 34 degrees. The precip would push down the temp to your dewpoint of 28 degrees which would change you all over to snow of snow/sleet depending of the condition on the upper atmosphere.
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This could get good! :cool:
 
Update from Chris Justus via FB live just now: I-85 dividing between accumulating snow and mostly rain - cities of Greenville/Spartanburg/Gaffney will see significant transitions between snow/sleet/fz rain - Simpsonville/etc will see mostly rain - I'm expecting a sleet storm here being about 2 miles north of 85
 
Rather get burned than put peoples lives in danger. ------------- has upped his Charlotte forecast for bread and milk. Everyone is now urging to prepare and App State has already alerted everyone on campus of the danger.
 
drfranklin said:
Update from Chris Justus via FB live just now: I-85 dividing between accumulating snow and mostly rain - cities of Greenville/Spartanburg/Gaffney will see significant transitions between snow/sleet/fz rain - Simpsonville/etc will see mostly rain - I'm expecting a sleet storm here being about 2 miles north of 85
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He’s not the weenie he used to be, just sad! I hope I get 6” out of spite!
 
olhausen said:
Lol, I know how the mountains work with elevation and all. The problem is that 99% of the people posting here don’t live in those mountains.
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True--but I am camping this weekend at Tate Branch in NE GA at 2600 feet! I hope we see some action!
Thanks!
Ben
 
drfranklin said:
Update from Chris Justus via FB live just now: I-85 dividing between accumulating snow and mostly rain - cities of Greenville/Spartanburg/Gaffney will see significant transitions between snow/sleet/fz rain - Simpsonville/etc will see mostly rain - I'm expecting a sleet storm here being about 2 miles north of 85
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KK going with GFS because it’s been must consistent! Lol
 
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