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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

The EPS actually looks a tick faster this run thru 120 HR, the height anomaly associated w/ our s/w is a little further east in TX at day 5, which is consistent with the slight southward shift vs 0z this run.
Excellent! I was just looking at the snow maps and the accumulating snow seemed to be lagging a bit behind 0z. How far apart are the GEFS and EPS right now? The snow means line up pretty well.
 
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Back and forth we go. Back up to over half members showing something for the midlands.


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Well just to be safe I booked a room in banner elk for the weekend. Free cancellation til 1pm Thursday. Might be a good weekend for some snow skiing. Had to do it
 
I think the East side of the Mountains and Foothills are sitting pretty. Snow mean 10-12 inches on both the EPS and GEFS!
 
Can’t cliff dive yet here from Atlanta since I’m still seeing some members showing wintery solutions for the metro, but we are so so borderline (leaning more so wet than snowy) all things considered that it is hard to remain optimistic
 
Excellent! I was just looking at the snow maps and the accumulating snow seemed to be lagging a bit behind 0z. How far apart are the GEFS and EPS right now? The snow means line up pretty well.
They're honestly not that dissimilar, the GEFS has a stronger wave train in the NE Pacific and bigger western North American ridge, EPS has a bigger trough over Atlantic Canada, something to like about both suites.

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Can’t cliff dive yet here from Atlanta since I’m still seeing some members showing wintery solutions for the metro, but we are so so borderline (leaning more so wet than snowy) all things considered that it is hard to remain optimistic

Wouldn't rule out anything yet for GA both the December storm and the January system had some major changes even at 2-3 days out and ultimately all models where mostly wrong on amounts for Dec storm
 
Can't really complain about this and the following frame on the EPS, only a slight change in the amplitude and timing of the northern & southern stream waves could send us to glory (or disappointment). The southern stream wave speeds up, & flattens or the northern wave off Atlantic Canada slows up a smidge and amplifies that would allow for better high placement (&/or a stronger high).

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Can’t cliff dive yet here from Atlanta since I’m still seeing some members showing wintery solutions for the metro, but we are so so borderline (leaning more so wet than snowy) all things considered that it is hard to remain optimistic
Anyone in north Georgia should not cliff dive yet. North Georgia still has a good chance at something significant.
 
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