Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Code Red!:weenie:
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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm
- Thread starter SimeonNC
- Start date
Code Red!:weenie:
SnowNiner
Member
wow 2 inch mean stinks for CLT. Didn't know the means were that low on the EPS.
Yes, in the game of disappointment.
But really, I am hoping for a miracle here.
olhausen
Member
Wow at the good trends on the models starting late last night for us middle Tennessee peeps!! I’m officially excited after today’s euro run which means I’m also susceptible to heart break now.
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I have gone into full fledge :weenie: mode after that back to back Ukie Euro combo. Sorry I can’t add anything more than banter to the main thread right now. You know you’re in rarified air when posters from the NE and MA come by the SE forum to comment
The only reason why the mean was low for that frame in clt is Becuase it's only hour 120 lol, the storm is not done
Heartbreak City for ChattanoogaWow at the good trends on the models starting late last night for us middle Tennessee peeps!! I’m officially excited after today’s euro run which means I’m also susceptible to heart break now.
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WeatherAddiction
Member
Hopefully this cooler and southern trend continues for us
Chattownsnow
Member
meh what can you do lol. I would imagine our average annual snowfall is less than any other location in all of TN given where we are in the state. unless 1993 skewed it enough.Heartbreak City for Chattanooga
I am hoping buddy. We need some work down here. I am going to Gatlinburg Friday and come home Sunday, either way, I will be driving home in a mess. I'd like to pull up in my drive way to a winter storm here in Lexington too...
If you were wondering, this is what the 12z FV3 simulated radar looks like.
GFS looks better than his little brother.
Sandstorm94
Member
10
-10-20%... Three times this morning's numbersInch snow probabilities from the 12z euro
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MichaelJ
Member
EPS gives me 45 of 51 ensemble members with 3"+ of SN. Frankly I am not convinced until I see the NAM thermal profiles inside 36 hours
NAM is looking good.
packfan98
Moderator
yep, it has the elusive 1040 high
WeatherAddiction
Member
NAM also looks to be moving fairly fast too
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
You're sitting prettier than just about everyone else on the board imo, if I was in Winston-Salem, I'd feel pretty good right about now. There could definitely be a changeover to IP that far NW per usual but you're one of the last places on the board that would mix with sleet so you can find some solace in that.
the NAM at this range is pretty useless right ?
Nam is good when it gets within 60hrs.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
In many cases it is, but it largely agrees with other guidance generally speaking so it's probably not all that far out in left field (if at all)
Snownut
Member
Perfect setup on the LR Nam. Take it with a grain of salt right now.
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BlueRidgeFolklore
Member
Better than us mountain folk? Interesting.
Our storm on the 12km NAM, I can't wait till the time period is fully within 84 hrs for the SE US region.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Mountain folk obviously not haha but nearly everyone else east of the mountains (minus Big Frosty of course) I'd say so.
The nam has our low south at hour 84 then the gfs.... and snow further south on northern edge of precip then the gfs. Northern Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia needs to be rooting for this. To get us in the game.
lol you are sitting prettier than everyone on here i believe
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The differences between the Euro & the NAM at this range is pretty negligible, just a slightly bigger high on the NAM but most guidance has slightly amped the surface high to the north in the last few runs. This is one of those rare occasions where the LR NAM is probably not completely crazy (yet)
Snowluvr
Member
Just got home from work and trying to catch up. I wish I understood more. Trying to learn. Any improvements for the Atlanta area?
BlueRidgeFolklore
Member
I thought maybe you were seeing something we weren't. Thanks for the clarification. Haha!
Both the GFS and the Euro trended great for the Atlanta area.
Storm5
Member
I think the best chance for anything is when the ULL swings through but that will depend on the track . Other than a few sleet pellets at the onset of precip the main precip type for the areas you mentioned with be rain . It’s after the low passes to the east and the ULL low moves in that there is a small chance of something frozen
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Snowluvr
Member
I'm in Marietta. Can it come that far west?
Depending on the ULL track, it can.
can we take this as gospel? look at that HP lmao
I would prepare for a cold, miserable rain and hope for something else. But right now I would not be expecting frozen precip in your area.
TerryInTucker
Member
Snowluvr
Member
My heart just broke!!
It's still POSSIBLE you could get something frozen but I wouldn't count on it. Just don't get your hopes up at this point.
Snowluvr
Member
I wont. It's hard when it's so close but I'm excited for all those who will see the frozen stuff!!!