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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

ecmwf_T850_seus_7.png

This is a great look for northern Georgia if there is any moisture left back there.
 
I need to buy some stock in Wrangler Jeans at the rate I keep bursting my pants from these model runs.
Me too! They had them for 11$ on Black Friday!!
But on topic, the strengthening high/confluence in NE , is causing colder runs and more S runs?
 
It must be impossible for systems to not make a hard right and hug the coastline. Just can't go 70 miles east.
I will say the 850 low tracked south of us so I'm holding out hope that temps will be colder.... but overall that's too amped, too close to the coast for us
 
I need to buy some stock in Wrangler Jeans at the rate I keep bursting my pants from these model runs.
Webb you are in a great position, even Charlotte Metro area outdoes the Triad area. The Triangle/Triad I feel suffered today. But no matter where the snow flies, my Jeep and I know how to drive. If Charlotte and points NW towards Lenoir score the biggest, that's where I'll be. Good luck with it!!!!
 
Here's the reason the Euro warms things up at the 850 level. It has a very weak/diffuse 850 low up in Tennessee that is in the process of transferring to SC and off the NC coast. In the process of this the TN 850 low is bringing in E to ESE winds which warms things up.
ecmwf_uv850_vort_seus_7.png


You can see it here on this map as well with the warm air advection pushing well inland. This detail is something the globals may not be able to properly resolve this far out and we may need to wait for the NAM/RGEM to figure out how this will unfold with any LP transfer.
ecmwf_temp_adv_fgen_850_seus_7.png
 
For the clt areas I still think IP will be a issue but my area 2 counties north will probably be on the northern side of the cutoff Becuase it's like that everytime
 
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