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Wintry Dec 8-10th Winter Storm

Wow, the FV3 continues to crush NC and increase the totals! Looked like the GEFS increased totals as well.
 
NOAA seems to be impressed with the qpf that the models are predicting.
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FV3 gives that rare major winter storm for the entire state of NC west to east and the GEFS keeps adjusting eastward little by little.... and the Euro is off to a great start, can it out do yesterday's mind blowing run?
 
SnowNiner said:
CMC I really don't care about. I wish the UK was more suppressed/colder though. If Euro is warmer, more north I'm not going to get my hopes up with the FV3 on an island.
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Differences in GFS/FV/CMC, you can see why GFS is most south and CMC most north. Look at the 50/50 lifting out quicker on the CMC. Those are the type of things that can trend very badly for us inside 72 hours. I really hope the Euro/EPS is more GFS/FV like.

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Webberweather53 said:
Remember that a weaker southern stream vort earlier on in the run leads to weaker/flatter storm in the long run, all else considered equal. It's something that folks along the I-40 & I-20 corridor should be pulling for.
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Vort looks about the same thru 96 hr a tick slower if anything.
 
12Z King not as good as 0Z. A little further north and warmer.

Correction: not further north but it is warmer due to weaker high.
 
There's really not a huge change from the 0z run last night so far, high to the N is a smidge weaker but still strong @ around 1036 hPa and the storm is ever so slightly slower, within the realm of noise at this stage.
 
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